Posted on 10/21/2016 8:32:18 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
North Carolina, Florida, Penn, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada are all within the margin and WINNABLE!
WTH happened to Iowa?
The real question is w.t.f happened to Utah (Clinton +5).
What are the internals of these polls? If they are utilizing 2012 percentages, I call BS.
If I’d like to see other recent polling out of Iowa, but never forget that there is always the 1-in-20 possibility that this is just a gross outlier.
I wouldn’t make any big deal about one particular state (be it Iowa or Utah).
Arizona, Georgia, Utah, Texas - they are all going to be RED this year.
The point is that this election is not some Clinton +6 or +7 lead as RealClearPolitics shows it.
The swing states are all winnable by Trump.
[For humor only]
Bloomberg business tv just quoted a AJC poll that shows DT and HC tied in GA, with momentum in her favor(not sure how they measured that. They also mention him losing by 10 pts in VA
[Serious]
This polling is all very weird.
These are fake polls from Natie Silver. He loves the ones that ignore enthusiasm and fools his followers by telling them enthusiasm does count - REALLY Natie?
Why is it that when a home team starts to move in a sporting event we hear “The crowd is really getting into it!” but that doesn’t mean anything in politics? Of course it does!
Ed Goeas of the Tarrance Group put enthusiasm aka “intensity” numbers in perspective saying, “We had in 2010 a nine-point advantage on intensity. Going into 2014 we had a seven-point advantage on intensity, meaning our voters are more intense about voting. Right now we have an 11-point advantage,” he said. “I’ve never seen a double-digit advantage in terms of intensity to vote.”
AZ Republic newspaper had a recent poll. It showed Clinton ahead by 5 percent in the state.
If you look at the poll: http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/10/19/arizona-republic-morrison-cronkite-news-poll/92390100/ (page 6)
It says for the state of Arizona, about 35% of voters are registered Republicans and 30% of voters are registered Democrats.
The people polled were: 57% Democrat and 23.6% Republican.
Polls like that are just CRAZY.....
Ignore the polls.
Google sure! If they are helping to collect the votes
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