the economist is also left wing i believe...
A D+18 sample and this is all she can muster? Am I misguided in my exuberance here?
Dems/GOP/Indy real numbers are 31/34/35 so the margin of error in this poll is 25-35%.
Election is still up for grabs. 3 weeks to go. Let’s which party wants to win more.
D+18?? WTF?? Do they expect us to take this bunk seriously?
Where did you find the internal for this one?
D+18?? You have got to be freakin kidding!!
Looking more and more like the Monmouth/CBS/bloomberg polls are garbage propaganda.
If Trump keeps gaining, You Gov is going to have to start up the Dem edge in voter turnout to +25 just to keep Hillary ahead.
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Economist is very far left/globalist/ anti-God, etc.
D +24? Who do think they’re fooling? This poll is part of a disinformation campaign coordinated with the Hillary campaign to rig the U.S. election.
Still weighting back 4 days with a load of female democrats. How independent.
D+18???? LOL....
Where do you see the party ID breakout?
We receive surveys to complete from YouGov at least once a week. Months ago we received one dealing with political issues. Identified as a Republican and said we always vote. Have not received any surveys since that time even remotely dealing with this topic. Participants are very, very liberal as can be readily seen from the comments and questions on their member’s main page. Based on what we know about YouGov, am surprised that Trump is only four points behind Clinton on their poll.
Can we spell d-e-s-p-e-r-a-t-i-o-n, boys and girls?
If I remember correctly. YouGov was off about 8% on Brexit.
Sounds like it may be worse here.
Not only is the sampling completely out of whack, there are 13% of respondents are not given to anyone????
Based on the headline, everyone is in the negative.
The ‘not sure’ vote of Republicans is a new category YouGov just invented to hide the fact that Trump’s real number is 48%, not 38%.
Something is VERY wrong with thiss poll (besides the party makeup of the sample). The poll claims 42% of 1,032 sampled participants support Clinton. By my math, that’s 433. Keep that number in mind. I tend to believe that number moreso than some of the others since that’s the only number most people will look at.
I looked a bit deeper though. The poll claims that 83% of the Dems surveyed support her. With 434 Dems surveyed that implies 359. She is claimed to be supported by 32% of the 346 Independents, or 111 of them. She is also supported by 8 of the 252 Republicans, or 3%.
The problem is that these numbers just don’t add up right. 359 Dems, 111 Indys and 8 Reps add up to 478 respondants. Comparing that number to the one obtained from the reported support, which was 433 shows a significant discrepancy.
What’s going on here? 478 out of 1,032 is 46%. Why would this poll intentionally understate Hillary’s overall support? Obviously that explanation is hard to believe. The party breakdown shows 45 more votes than the overall. I believe the overall number, otherwise they’d be only too glad to report 46-38 increasing her lead by 4 points.
That means that one or more of the party breakdowns is overstated. It can’t be her Republican support - that was only 8 respondants, not enough to explain the discrepancy. Subtracting these 45 frim her Dem supporters puts her support at 72% among Dems. That would be low, but not so low that they’d be tempted to alter the report to cover it up. Subtracting from the Indys though puts her at 19%. That’s an embarrassingly low number that she would not want to see put out there.
I don’t normally do conspiracy theories, but math doesn’t lie. The numbers in this poll just are not consistent with each other and the low support among Independents might just be embarrassing enough for this poll to change a figure that most people would not even think to question.