“If 10% in and 5985 lead, then average points toward 59,850 final spread.lower than the 79,000.”
I don’t think the return rate is linear ... it kind of goes parabolic the closer you get to the deadline. That’s just human nature :-).
It’s kind of like a project with a deadline ... there is somewhat linear growth in the % accomplished direction ... as the deadline grows closer, more and more work is done as panic mode sets in :-).
Bottom line, I wouldn’t look at what to expect by the 10% returned so far.
What is the expected percentage of people who will vote early in Florida versus on election day? Are most people going to vote early?
We saw this with requests