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This race will hinge on fraud and voter turnout. As much as the media loves to talk about the famous independents it’s really about getting out the base. Trump had to motivate his base and he worked on doing that last night. Hillary has to do the same. Polls are easy to participate in when someone calls you up, voting requires more effort and african americans are not going to be that excited to vote for Hillary. The unknown in the equation is voter fraud. Romney couldn’t get out his base and voter fraud in Ohio was immense. Trump will get out the base but the fraud will be there. I truly hope Trump wins but it is always a handicap to go into a national race without the ability to carry your home state. In recent memory we have not elected a president who lost his home state,in either party. Remember Al Gore lost Tennessee. Bush was fortunate to claim Texas and Romney couldn’t carry MA despite being governor there. Imagine if Trump could carry New York.