New Jersey will not end up in his column, but I’m not surprised its closer than expected. Trump has a bit of a “home field advantage” in northern New Jersey because he’s been all over the media in New York City for decades. A lot of the things that might turn off a moderate voter in other parts of the country ... like a loud-mouthed, blustering personality ... works well in New Jersey. It sure didn’t hurt Chris Christie in two statewide elections. In fact, it was an asset for him.
Assuming the 6 point deficit is correct, that’s not insurmountable by any means IMO.
A Trump advertising ambush could just pull it off. Speaking of advertising, I sure hope they plan on spending a lot more than the 140 million recently announced. Not that a more modest budget couldn’t get it done, but this race is close enough that a big media push could be the difference between winning and losing.
At the very least she’ll be forced to spend money on ads here and who knows, maybe this year my vote will actually amount to something for a change in this state.