[InABunkerUnderSF]

I read this and I can't help thinking back to the 2000 campaign. Some polls polls (Zogby and others) showed Bush to be "within striking distance" of taking California. Republican ads started popping up on the TV and Bush spent time running up and down the Central Valley that he could have spent in Florida. Bush lost California big time and I've always believed the optimistic polls where a setup.

When looking at polls that promise shiney but historically improbable opportunities at this late stage, the Trump campaign should ask themselves which polls and who is paying for them? What is their track record in the state or states in question? If I were with the Trump campaign I'd think hard before diverting a lot of resources to all but a handful of traditionally blue states. By now the campaign has their path to 270 in place and should not allow themselves to be distracted. Better to be blown out in MN and WI than to loose FL and NC by a whisker.

[The Truth Will Make You Free]

I read this and I can't help thinking back to the 2000 campaign. Some polls polls (Zogby and others) showed Bush to be "within striking distance" of taking California. Republican ads started popping up on the TV and Bush spent time running up and down the Central Valley that he could have spent in Florida. Bush lost California big time and I've always believed the optimistic polls where a setup.

Excellent assessment!