Here ya go:
.
No, wait . . .
Posted on 09/25/2016 10:13:03 AM PDT by justlurking
I was looking at the cross-tabs for the People's Pundit Daily poll. This data lags behind for demographics and "enthusiasm", but I was really surprised at the scale of change on 9/21:
It's easier to see the results by clicking on the PDF link or the CSV link. If you have Excel, the CSV link is safe -- it's just a text file.
Trump always does well in this metric, with 60% or more of his supporters claiming to be "extremely enthusiasic" to vote for him.
In contrast, Clinton has never gotten out of the 40% range. But, from 9/20 to 9/21, the number of Clinton's likely voters claiming to be "not at all enthusiastic" jumped from 4% to 17%!
This is from 1,861 likely voters. You can read about their methodology at the site: they select voters based on demographics and geographics, but not party identification.
It will be interesting to see if this is an anomaly, or if it is the beginning of a trend. But, the difference in enthusiasm for the candidates match my perception of voters, and I think it will be a big factor on election day.
It's times like this that I wish FR had a "like" button. :-)
Thanks for this post. I read a story by PPD earlier titled “Hillary Clinton Does Not Have a Six-Point Lead Over Donald Trump”
Wow, good catch. It’s a shame people have to go digging through data to find the real news.
Thanks for that link. It deserves its own post, if you want to make it.
Okay I’m on it, though I think the enthusiasm part pointed out in this thread is much more important. Again, thanks for digging to find this.
ok, you win! :)
This is really shocking to me.... “huge drop in Clinton enthusiasm”?? When was there any, expect by the 30% that are either in the liberal elite or the hand-out crowd? Are they saying those folks are losing interest too???
Here ya go:
.
No, wait . . .
The trend is holding: "not at all enthusiastic" for Clinton dropped from 17% to 16%.
But, more bad news: "Extremely enthusiastic" dropped from 38% to 35% -- the worst in September It looks like most of that switched to "very enthusiastic".
Adding "Extremely" and "Very" together: Trump is at 87%. Clinton is at 62%.
Adding "Slightly" and "Not at all", Trump is at 4%, and Clinton is at 24%.
Clinton may have had one really bad day, and it will take a while for it to disappear from the rolling average. So, we'll see how it changes after the debate.
Thanks for the research & post!!
PPD actually posted data for 9/23 and 9/24, in addition to the 9/21 data that started this thread.
Clinton's "not at all" number remained 17% for 9/23, and then reduced slightly to 16% on 9/24.
Though all of that, her "extremely" number dropped from 45% on 9/20, to 40%, then 38%, and finally 35%. So, it's in free-fall.
If PPD's results are accurate, the trend is definitely against Hillary. A lot of her "likely voters" may be sitting out this election.
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