Definitely not where he needs to be, but the trend is encouraging.
Game over. Hillary is Queen for Life.
This was the laughable poll last month... today it decided it didn’t want to be a complete laughing stock so reeled itself in a bit...
I think HIllary has a maximum support of no more than low 40s no matter what she does... and I don’t think she can or will get above it.
Imagine liberal college polls like Monmouth skew it for Hillary.
...Oh yeah they do.
IOW, they are tied.
From Aug 8 poll:
DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
26% Republican
39% Independent
35% Democrat
47% Male
53% Female
Clinton Takes A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll - sounds like a growing lead
Clinton Falls A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll - reflects reality
The media is so stupid, you only can take a 7 point lead if your former position was lower, you drop to 7 points from 13.
Wanna know what a likely voter is? Well it's not someone who registered to vote just for Trump, or who will vote cross party for Trump, or even who voted for someone other than Trump in the primaries. Nope - they're unreliable.
Just saying.
So a 5 point drop is portrayed as “taking the lead”?
And I don;t believe it for a minute anyway- look at the size of Trumps crowds- and she has to PAY PEOPLE to go to her rallies. And even the cheerleaders at the rallies cant get people to participate.
Like that headline. We can expect “Clinton takes a five-point lead,” “Clinton takes a three-point lead”, and “Clinton assumes a commanding one-point lead” to follow over the next few weeks. “)
Typical Monmouth, get a R+2 sample and manipulate it to D+4 with age, race, gender and partisanship tricks. But for those slight of hands, it would be about a Clinton +4 lead in the 4-way like most other polls.
Weighted party ID D+4, Unweighted R+2. Their minds are suffering heaviness...
The numbers are quite neat and convenient, aren’t they...like still a seven point lead with all candidates... like she loses three and he gains three. I don’t trust pollsters at all.
The real question is how is the race going in the 10 +- states that will decide the election?
National surveys that include predetermined states such as Texas, California aren’t worth a lot.
Some use the following eleven as the swing state list, but who knows for sure which ones it will be.
Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire,
North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.