Posted on 08/22/2016 3:18:15 PM PDT by oblomov
Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and a few other key states are struggling under the weight of Donald Trump’s candidacy. But there seems to be at least one exception: Republican Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio.
Polling released in the past few days — including a Monmouth University survey of Ohio released on Monday — confirms that Portman is not being swamped by the anti-GOP sentiment Trump is stirring up. The Monmouth poll found Trump down by 4 percentage points and Portman ahead by 8.
The new Monmouth survey is in line with the polling averages: Portman holds a clear advantage over Democrat Ted Strickland, leading in all four polls taken since both conventions ended. And in that time, Portman has expanded his lead while Trump’s position has deteriorated. Trump trails Hillary Clinton by 4 points in Ohio, according to our polls-only model, while he trailed Clinton by about 1 point just before the GOP convention started. But Portman leads Strickland by a little over 7 points, on average, in post-convention polls. In the month before the conventions, Portman led Strickland by an average of just 1 point.
How is Portman resisting Trump’s downward pull? Here are three factors that may be helping him separate himself from the presidential nominee in the eyes of Ohio voters:
1. Portman is in many ways the opposite of Trump. He’s a quiet, Chamber of Commerce-type of Republican, whereas Trump is a bombastic populist. Moreover, Portman has been in Ohio politics for over 20 years — he has an established brand in the Buckeye State that is distinct from Trump’s. 2. Ohio’s Republican Party has distanced itself from Trump in a way that few other state parties have.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
The narrative here is that Trump = bad, and Portmanesque moderation = good.
Portman is a piece of crap.
Reality: Trump is keeping Portman up.
Trump has coattails, but the GOP establishment are concern trolling him and warning that downticket Republicans could lose just so they can have a narrative come 2020.
If the morons in Illinois, Ohio, PA vote for Hillary, they get what they deserve. They, more than anyone in this nation, have been economically raped by the free trade policy of the Uniparty.
As far as I am concerned, the Republican Party can go to hell. On election day, I will mark the place across from Donald Trump’s name and turn in my ballot.
Mitt Romney’s debate prep partner. Unfortunatey only one of them could run and lose.
Do I believe it? Not really. But Portman by helping himself might help Trump.
Losing Portman would be no big loss.
And lil’ Nate ought to reconsider if Trump really has a “downward” pull....
What would really be funny is this: write-in Trump’s name for every office.... even for county commissioner....
“Chamber of Commerce-type of Republican” says it all there folks.
Yes, and not to be trusted, but he’s better than anyone the Dems would put up..
2015 Americans for Prosperity - Positions 89%
2015 Americans for Prosperity - Lifetime Score 82%
2014 American Conservative Union - Positions 68%
2014 American Conservative Union - Lifetime Scores 84%
2014 Americans for Prosperity - Positions (Jan. 7, 2014) 69%
2014 Americans for Prosperity - Lifetime Score 78%
2014 Americans for Prosperity - Positions (June 23, 2014) 67%
2014 Americans for Prosperity - Lifetime Score (June 23, 2014) 77%
2014 Conservative Review - Positions 55
2014 Heritage Action for America - Positions (113th Congress) 55%
2014 Heritage Action for America - Positions (Jan. 9, 2014) 57%
2014 The John Birch Society - Lifetime Score 50%
2014 The John Birch Society - Positions 70%
2013-2014 Campaign for Working Families - Positions 93%
2013-2014 Eagle Forum - Positions 80%
2013-2014 Faith and Freedom Coalition - Positions 91
2013-2014 The John Birch Society - Positions (113th Congress, full session) 64%
2013 American Conservative Union - Positions 64%
2013 American Conservative Union - Lifetime Score 86%
2013 Concerned Women for America - Positions 81%
2013 Eagle Forum - Positions 66%
2013 National Journal - Conservative (Composite) 71%
2013 National Journal - Conservative on Foreign Policy 73%
2013 National Journal - Conservative on Economic Policy 69%
2013 The New American - Positions on Conservative Issues 70
2012 American Conservative Union - Lifetime Score 87%
2012 American Conservative Union - Ratings of Congress 76%
The NON WEIGHTED monmouth poll has Trump winning..but the heavily weighted one he released has Hillary up...Sundance at Conservative Treehouse calls him out on it...pay attention folks you are being manipulated...and the way i feel about it at this time..if i lived in ohio i would vote for TRUMP and against portman just to blow his sleazy hiney out of office..would not be much different than the other corrupt Uniparty candidate
Oh please there is such a downward pull? You mean every RINO would be winning big with Jeb or Cruz? I don’t think so.
But I will say Kasich is a pure pos.
Most of Portman’s support will come from Trump voters, and then he’ll get a few more.
Thanks. I will. I did not thank of that. I believe that Nationwide, Republicans down ticket are headed for a rude awakening. They have let the media and their “consultants” bullshit them into believing that they could tell their base to go fornicate with themselves and still win elections. On November 9, 2016 there will be weeping, wailing, and gnashing of teeth.
FiveThirtyEight? I’ll MoveOn.
Trump can carry Ohio (and PA and MI and...even NY and CA if he campaigns and advertises and mobilizes ground forces like the winner-kinda-person he is)
but almost certainly OH and PA and MI
to say or imply that Trump somehow drags down the R ticket when he’s the big star Republican today.......with tremendous voter support............is either delusional or deliberately sinister....but is totally wrong at either event.
Yup. Literally minutes ago I got an email from the GOP asking for $$$ to help Trump. I responded by saying I will contribute directly to Trump and not the GOPe
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