Posted on 08/13/2016 4:20:32 PM PDT by MichelleWSC3
Republican Donald Trump should win the presidency by a slim margin according to a model that has accurately predicted the popular vote since 1988.
Using several standards to make his prediction, Alan Abramowitz’s “Time for Change” model done for the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics “Crystal Ball” shows Trump winning 51.4 percent to 48.6 percent for Hillary Clinton.
He added that the model shows a 66 percent chance of a Trump victory.
“Based on a predicted vote share of 48.6 percent for the incumbent party, these results indicate that Trump should be a clear but not overwhelming favorite to defeat Clinton: There should be about a 66 percent chance of a Republican victory,” Abramowitz added.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
Too close for comfort and fraud
I can live with that
Another piece of data to show why the MSM is going to be runnint anti-Trump stories, crap polls showing him way behind Hillary, and taking every word he utters and twisting it against him from now til election day.
My rule of thumb is anything less than a 5% lead the Dems will steal the election.
Yes, fraud will win the day!
What about the Electoral College?
That’s what they did to Goldwater too; he even said if he didn’t know who he was, he would have voted against himself too based on news reports.
Excellent news.
Exactly.
The electoral college is where our attention must be. That is where Hillary is working behind the scenes. In fact, one Elector in Georgia has stated that they will refuse to vote for Trump even if he wins Georgia.
Some pro-Trump and anti-Hillary are running ads on Fox and Fox Business...but this ballgame hasn't even gotten started.
This September, October, early November will be like no other.
Trump and the RNC have the money...and they don't really need it.
But they will use it. And Hillary will go down.
Remember one thing.
Trump hates to lose. His whole brand is built on winning.
This is his last hurrah til 2020.
And he will pull out all the stops.
He is also working behind the scenes.
The RNC is working in concert with Manafort.
Quit peeing in your boots.
You’ll have to ask Alan Abramowitz as I didn’t make the prediction just posted the story :-)
“In fact, one Elector in Georgia has stated that they will refuse to vote for Trump even if he wins Georgia”
-—You’re a bit behind. The same day that story came out that “Elector” resigned
I hope you are right about the ADS that will be running in Sept, Oct, and Nov. But, IMHO, we need some ads now.
Trump is going to destroy her with the popular vote. Trump will lose because 125% of inner city voting will be for Cankles.
Another poll which will not see the light of day on NeverTrump News.
Pray America wakes
Well, with fraud, we’re boned then.
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