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Poll: Clinton leads by 13 points among likely voters (playing with the polls alert)
http://www.politico.com ^

Posted on 08/08/2016 1:41:53 PM PDT by CaptainK

Hillary Clinton’s post-convention bounce has been amplified through the weekend, giving the Democratic presidential nominee a double-digit lead among likely voters, according to a new poll released Monday.

The Monmouth University survey shows Clinton leading the flagging GOP nominee Donald Trump, 50 percent to 37 percent, among likely voters. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson is at 7 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein is at 2 percent. Only 3 percent of likely voters are undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls
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The previous Monmouth poll had Trump 2 points behind Hillary. How do you change that small difference in a months's time? Why you increase the amount of Democrats you poll while decreasing the amount of Republican.

AUGUST Trump 37% Clinton 50%

JULY Trump 43% Clinton 45%

Demographics

Aug (9% diff)26% Republican  35% Democrat 39% Independent  

July(5% diff)28% Republican 33% Democrat 39% Independent

1 posted on 08/08/2016 1:41:53 PM PDT by CaptainK
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To: CaptainK

Politico = DNC


2 posted on 08/08/2016 1:44:41 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: CaptainK

There are only 34 to 32% Democrats in this country.This poll has an error of +/- 25%.


3 posted on 08/08/2016 1:47:08 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: CaptainK

The GOP has 33 to 35% so that error is even larger about 42%.


4 posted on 08/08/2016 1:48:56 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: CaptainK

Every poll, national and state, who show Hillary winning are skewed.


5 posted on 08/08/2016 1:51:45 PM PDT by Durbin
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To: CaptainK

“And Clinton’s lead among likely voters — 13 points — is actually slightly wider than her 12-point advantage among all registered voters. In recent elections, likely voter screens have typically produced better results for Republican candidates than polls of all registered voters.”

“Likely Voter” is determined by past voting history. However, that metric is useless in 2016 as lots of people who have never voted will vote in this election for Trump.


6 posted on 08/08/2016 1:52:14 PM PDT by Timpanagos1
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To: CaptainK

Sounds like they are getting ready for some major voter fraud in November. By the time this election is done the WWF wrestling matches will be more honest and trustworthy than the election for president of the USA. At least with the WWF everybody knows it’s entertainment.


7 posted on 08/08/2016 1:52:57 PM PDT by seawolf101
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To: CaptainK
Trump captures only 79 percent of Republican respondents. Trump (32 percent) and Clinton (30 percent) are running neck-and-neck among self-identified independents.

Hey, if true, I am prepared. Hitlery, according to the Monmouth poll, gets 92% of Demon Rat sycophant voters. Trump gets only 79% of the Republicans.

Even with a 9 point differential, that doesn't account for a 13 point lead. The voting won't be split 50-50.

Trump voters are motivated, no doubt, but think about this: a drumbeat for THREE STRAIGHT MONTHS of "Trump is gonna lose" repeated by the tv, radio, internet, over and over again....how do you think Joe Six Pack is going to react?

8 posted on 08/08/2016 1:55:14 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Durbin

I wouldn’t go that far, even if someone is up 5 points, legitimate honest polling can still sometimes show the other person in the lead, but any poll showing Hillary up 10 points or more is laughable on its face.. let alone one that shows her with 50% support.

Her husband barely broke the 50% barrier in his re-election campaign, and for all his faults he was a natural and skilled politician. Hillary has ZERO innate skill or ability or charisma but we are to believe she’s got a 50% support rating? Its laughable.


9 posted on 08/08/2016 1:56:22 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: DarthVader; All
Yet Hillary only can get 300 people at a rally in Colorado.  More than half were students in a public school that can't vote. 

Trump on the other hand had over 8,000 people at his rally.  And I'm suppose to belive the polls?

Here was the demographics break down according to Momouth University.  They admit they interviewed 11% more Democrats than Republicans.  This is even though Democrat voting is near an all time low in the Primaries and Repulican voting is at a near time high.

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)

26% Republican

39% Independent

35% Democrat

 

47% Male

53% Female

 

25% 18-34

25% 35-49

28% 50-64

21% 65+

 

71% White

13% Black

11% Hispanic

  5% Asian/Other

 

10 posted on 08/08/2016 1:57:03 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: CaptainK

Clintoon is a dead rag.


11 posted on 08/08/2016 1:57:03 PM PDT by Renegade
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To: Enlightened1

These NWO ass holes are making it very hard on themselves as Trump is the peaceful solution to our problems. If they keep it up the alternative solution which will be far more painful will be imposed on them.


12 posted on 08/08/2016 2:02:52 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: CaptainK

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)

26% Republican

39% Independent

35% Democrat

47% Male

53% Female

A 9 per cent split between Dems and pubs....and a 39 per cent independent vote....something still stinks with the numbers!


13 posted on 08/08/2016 2:03:10 PM PDT by mdmathis6 (BEWARE THE ABORTION POLITICAL INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX!)
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To: Enlightened1

He often gets more than that.


14 posted on 08/08/2016 2:04:06 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Enlightened1

Weren’t there DNC emails showing coordination with these stooges? Politico better start trashing Johnson since all Trump voters are going there.(sarc)


15 posted on 08/08/2016 2:04:40 PM PDT by hardspunned
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To: CaptainK

In reality he’s only down by about 7 points. Of course, that’s plenty.


16 posted on 08/08/2016 2:05:26 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: Enlightened1

It’s possible to have very enthusiastic support from a relatively small portion of the population.


17 posted on 08/08/2016 2:06:30 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: Enlightened1

Trump had 15,000 people at his rally in Jacksonville, Fla. last week.


18 posted on 08/08/2016 2:06:57 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Hell No, DNC, We Won't Vote For Hillary!)
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To: Timpanagos1

We all sound like dopes complaining about the polls, except when they deserve to be whined about. It’s against the laws of physics that Clinton could be up 13% with likely voters. When usually 50 people go to the Detroit Economic Club speeches but now 2000 show up? Clinton does a city with a 150 people and Trump does the same city the next day and gets 10,000 ? When the democrat media GOPe complex is announcing a new candidate everyday? When the ads are 98-1 but the LA Times says its tied? No effin chance....


19 posted on 08/08/2016 2:11:19 PM PDT by major-pelham
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To: CaptainK

Leftist Monmouth U. also skewed female voters by +6%. Female should be about +2%

And in check their other methodology. They are saying half their polling was from a prepared list of voters. You can bet the farm they knew how many of these people would answer.


20 posted on 08/08/2016 2:22:02 PM PDT by Red Steel
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