[AndyTheBear]

Sorry, I am buying it. I would be very surprised if Ryan lost.

Polls can be biased sure--but its hard to think a poll could be so biased that a 66 point lead does not lead to a blow out win.

[BushCountry]

Weird the polls could be so different. But Ryan most likely will win... we’ll see.

AMP Calypso has ranked the race

Poll Conducted 7-20 7-29

523 Actual Voters in Wisconsin District 1

Will Vote Paul Ryan: 41%

Will Vote Paul Nehlen: 46%

Undecided: 13%

[fortheDeclaration]

Yes, the only way Ryan can lose is if Democrats vote against him as well.

[irish guard]

Ryan isn’t going to lose this one....and Mark Belling isn’t all that influential when it comes to Ryan’s district. Yea, the WISN signal reaches all the way to Beloit and Janesville, but I don’t think there’s all that much market penetration down that way for Belling. Ryan is just a pretty popular guy down there and I think these polls are pretty close to accurate. I said he’d get 65% back on July 9 on a different thread.