What was the 2012 breakdown D/R/I? Seems high R but I don’t know NC.
“What was the 2012 breakdown D/R/I? Seems high R but I don’t know NC.”
In 2012 Romney won North Carolina by 2 %.
In 2012 the North Carolina electorate was
Democrats 39 %
Republicans 33 %
Independents 29 %
This poll does seem to over sample Republicans although some of the moderate/conservative Democrats may have switched parties during the last few years. That has been a trend since Reagan’s time when N Carolina was overwhelmingly Democratic, but often voted Republican in presidential races.
Found a Sept 2012 poll here:
http://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/September-Crosstabs-2.pdf
looks like R= 198; D=270; I=132
The current(2016) cross tabs are displayed differently here:
https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/August-Poll-Crosstabs-2016.pdf
on the cross tabs, look at the “Composition of Likely Voters” line then move over to the “Party Affiliation” (Green)category. The percentages total 98% and the numbers look to be:
R=120; I=164; D=108. However, if you look at the “Party Affiliation”(light blue) category, Rat % only adds up to 26% not 27% ( probably some rounding going on)
I think I am reading the right.