[wright2bear]

I think Trump will win.. but wouldn’t put too much credence in Mr. Silver...didn’t predict that Trump wouldn’t even when the nomination? Go Trump!

[wright2bear]

when=WIN....

[HonkyTonkMan]

True. I thought they had inside polling for the last election. His models cannot measure the "feeling" within the GOP. Never picked up on the level of unrest with current leadership.

It's not rocket science, but quantifiable models based on polling data have a hard time measuring emotion, feelings, and other intangibles.