His “polls PLUS” model has H leading. (polls plus sauce.)
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/757559058924699648
Lol! Polls plus sauce, what is that? Accounting for Democrat voter fraud (ballot box stuffing, the dead vote, illegal aliens, multiple votes, etc)?
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/757559058924699648
Nate likes to hedge his bets; that way he can claim he predicted correctly whatever happens. It is his “now cast” computer model that has Trump winning if the election were held right now. Regardless, these are substantial gains for Trump and show momentum. It will be interesting to see who holds the momentum next week after the DNC convention ends. If the DNC fawning over the Democrats for a week doesn't create some momentum for Hillary, we will see full scale panic.
The really scary thing is wondering what diabolical actions that they will try if this happens. They never seem to just roll over and play dead. We could be looking at some really scary stuff if it looks like Hillary is really going to lose. I would put nothing past them, they literally would go full nuclear if that would help. That is why there are many in the military who are very concerned about ill conceived actions in the Middle East timed to affect the election, but it could be much worse than that.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-election#now