I will go on the record (understanding that 123 days is several lifetimes in politics and my view can change dramatically) with my predictions.
If Clinton is the Democrat Party nominee, she will carry:
Washington, D.C.
Massachussets
Maryland
Minnesota
Hawaii
Oregon
Illinois
That is all. This will be a ‘72 level wipeout.
Trump is the most aggressive, relentless, and bombastic person in the modern era of Presidential politics, and he is amazingly good at getting rhetoric down to sound bites and 144 character messages. That is vital for messaging to LIV in the internet age.
Cankles will get CA. Trump would have to overcome a 9 million vote margin (from 2012), which has likely increased since then.
I just don’t see how that’s possible.
He will make NY closer, but lose there. But I agree with most of your others.
I hope in 100 years or so Donald Trump will join the men on Mount Rushmore