VA is very different today.
GW Bush never campaigned there and won it in a walk.
Thanks to NOVA, the state looks like a pickup for Hillary.
That may be, but its not a given. Trump is popular among white working-class Democrats and Independents in the rural parts of the state and the small towns. If he gets a large chunk of these non-Republican voters, plus high turnout among Republicans throughout the state, he can still win it.