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To: TangledUpInBlue

Well currently the delegate count is:

Trump: 1,002
Cruz: 572

Here’s my worst case for Trump in the upcoming primaries, including IN:

IN : 25
WV: 24
NB: 0
OR: 16
WA: 20
CA: 90
MT: 0
SD: 0
NM: 12
NJ: 51

This ads up to 238 for Trump, added to the 1,002, it puts him over at 1240.

Best case is:

IN: 45
WV: 28
NB: 0
OR: 20
WA: 24
CA: 130
MT: 0
SD: 0
NM 16
BJ: 51

That’s 314 added to his 1,002 and he is way over at 1,316

We will just have to wait and see. If Trump were to pull out any one of the three NB, SD, or MT, then he wins in any case by just that much more.

But a slam dunk tomorrow should silence Cruz...whether he elects to go on or not, IN is really there last fire wall to even have any chance of stopping Trump. As I say, I do not think it will matter even if Trump does as poorly as I show in the worst case.

My Open Letter to Ted Cruz after the NY Primary
http://www.jeffhead.com/Cruz-ltr.htm


5 posted on 05/02/2016 11:59:34 AM PDT by Jeff Head (Semper Fidelis - Molon Labe - Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: Jeff Head

Cruz will be stomped tomorrow but he won’t quit. However, I believe his supports will quit attending rallies.


15 posted on 05/02/2016 1:29:22 PM PDT by VerySadAmerican (Never held a job in the private sector;never met a payroll,never created a job - CRUZ! Conservative!)
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To: Jeff Head

“a slam dunk tomorrow should silence Cruz...whether he elects to go on or not”........

Why would he be “silenced” when he’s spending someone else’s money?


19 posted on 05/02/2016 2:32:42 PM PDT by DaveA37
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