Posted on 05/01/2016 7:38:32 AM PDT by GilGil
According to our latest polls-plus forecast, Donald Trump has a 69% chance of winning the Indiana primary.
(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...
The Marist poll is interesting since it is so recent
I think Trumps chances of winning Indiana are even higher due to the “Bandwagon Effect”. People want to vote for a winner.
So for those who like to reverse numbers, that means Cruz only has a 31% chance.
And Kasich has a 1% chance.
Which means Cruz has a 100% chance of returning to the senate
more hated and despised than before.
So for those who like to reverse numbers, that means Cruz only has a 31% chance.
And Kasich has a 1% chance.
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You have summarized it very well!
I wonder if the networks will call the lection for Trump in Indiana 5 minute after the polls close just like the last 6 primaries.
Cruz needs to just stop after Indiana, but part of me will enjoy his self delusion if he continues on.
Or become consigliere to the Boosh family.
Last Tuesday they were calling some of the states within seconds of the polls closing. IIRC, 3 were called almost immediately.
If they want to ‘make a night of it’, they might stretch calling it for a few minutes. The trouble with delays is that some other network or media outlet might call it before they do.
According to our latest polls-only forecast, Donald Trump has a 94% chance of winning the Indiana primary.
Same polls compilation, different analysis.
Following Indiana, comes California and New Jersey—both strong wins for Trump
Cruz might find his Senate career short. Only 43.8% of Texas voted for him in the Texas presidential primary. That means 56.2% voted against him.
Contrast that with Trump getting 60% of NY.
Cruz may have bigger political concerns that losing his presidential run.
Every drama needs its comic relief. Cruz has become that, especially after adding Fiorina.
According to our latest polls-only forecast, Donald Trump has a 94% chance of winning the Indiana primary.
Same polls compilation, different analysis.
Following Indiana, comes California and New Jersey—both strong wins for Trump
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With this latest breaking news, Cruz is going to announce his cabinet!
Indeed. And the effective gets stronger not weaker
Teds advisors kept telling him all he had to do was get trump one on one and he would win. Too bad others didn’t follow that script because Ted still is believing the nonsense.
Trump struck a chord with the voters by stressing illegal immigration, jobs, and trade deals ruining the economy. Cruz talked about none of that until trump started doing well
Time for the immigrant to return to his day job as a career government employee
“Trump struck a chord with the voters by stressing illegal immigration, jobs, and trade deals ruining the economy. Cruz talked about none of that until trump started doing well”
I noticed that. Can’t tell exactly when, but Trump was doing extremely well at the time.
I noted Cruz was doing his “constitutional sermon-lecture” thing, with zero mention of the economy or jobs.
And first he started adding something about economy-jobs at the end of his sermons.
Now I believe it comes more early, and more prominently in his sermon-lectures.
Probably too little, and too late. Plus he is a big flop, on personality, demeanor, likeability, etc. That stuff counts.
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