Pew Poll: Cruz Backed by White Evangelicals, Weekly Church-Goers; Trump by Mainline Protestants

Christian Post ^ | 04/02/2016 | Anugrah Kumar

[SeekAndFind]

The latest Pew Research poll reveals that while Ted Cruz is supported by white evangelical Republicans and those who regularly attend church service, the GOP frontrunner Donald Trump is preferred by white mainline Protestants and those who attend religious services less frequently.

The poll released Friday shows that 41 percent of white evangelical Protestant Republican voters back Cruz, compared with 38-percent support for Trump. And 44 percent of Republican voters who regularly attend religious services are likely to back Cruz, while Trump has the backing of only 29 percent in this category.

The poll also suggests that 57 percent of the GOP electorate that is religiously unaffiliated supports the billionaire businessman, who is also backed by 44 percent of white mainline Protestants. Only 18 percent of the latter support Cruz.

Darren Patrick Guerra, an associate professor of political science at Biola University, earlier countered the proposition that evangelicals are supporting Trump, using exit polls after primaries in southern states.

Trump may have carried a plurality of evangelical voters in some states, but polls also show that, on average, 64 percent of evangelicals in all southern states voted for someone other than Trump, Guerra pointed out in an article in First Things, adding that a majority, 51 percent, voted collectively for either Sen. Marco Rubio from Florida or Cruz, and not Trump.

Overall, the Pew poll says, Trump is supported by 41 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters, Cruz by 32 percent and John Kasich by 20 percent.

The poll also points out that Trump performs better among Republican men than women, as 45 percent of Republican men back Trump, the percentage reduces to 38 among women Republican voters. On the contrary, while 30 percent of Republican men support Cruz, his support increases to 34 among women.

Trump recently mocked Cruz's wife, comparing her to his own wife, and has attacked several other women.

"Suburban women have been a critical swing group in the past, and there's a lot about Donald Trump that is offensive to them," Geoff Garin, a Democratic pollster who served as a chief strategist to Hillary Clinton in 2008, told The New York Times recently.

The Pew poll also says that Trump garners more support from those with lower levels of education and income, as nearly half of Republican voters who have not attended college and 44 percent of those with some college education but no degree support Trump, compared with 32 percent of those with bachelors or 30 percent with postgraduate degrees.

Support for Cruz varies little by education, the poll adds.

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SOURCE: PEW RESEARCH POLL

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[Mechanicos]

False Witness. Trump wins Evangelicals as SC showed. So this article and polls it cites are provably a lie.

[SeekAndFind]

[SeekAndFind]

The analysis in this report is based on telephone interviews conducted March 17-27, 2016 among a national sample of 2,254 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia (566 respondents were interviewed on a landline telephone, and 1,688 were interviewed on a cell phone, including 983 who had no landline telephone). The survey was conducted under the direction of Abt SRBI. A combination of landline and cell phone random digit dial samples were used; both samples were provided by Survey Sampling International. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Respondents in the landline sample were selected by randomly asking for the youngest adult male or female who is now at home. Interviews in the cell sample were conducted with the person who answered the phone, if that person was an adult 18 years of age or older. For detailed information about our survey methodology, see http://www.pewresearch.org/methodology/u-s-survey-research/

The combined landline and cell phone sample are weighted using an iterative technique that matches gender, age, education, race, Hispanic origin and nativity and region to parameters from the 2014 Census Bureau’s American Community Survey and population density to parameters from the Decennial Census. The sample also is weighted to match current patterns of telephone status (landline only, cell phone only, or both landline and cell phone), based on extrapolations from the 2015 National Health Interview Survey. The weighting procedure also accounts for the fact that respondents with both landline and cell phones have a greater probability of being included in the combined sample and adjusts for household size among respondents with a landline phone. The margins of error reported and statistical tests of significance are adjusted to account for the survey’s design effect, a measure of how much efficiency is lost from the weighting procedures.

[Salvation]

**Overall, the Pew poll says, Trump is supported by 41 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters, Cruz by 32 percent and John Kasich by 20 percent. **

forget about the religions — here are the facts.

[Ted Grant]

The holy people like a guy like Cruz. I can see it.

[SandRat]

White Evangelicals Weekly Church-Goers; are Mainline Protestants.

[Mechanicos]

Real world TRUMPS your bogus polls. :)

[af_vet_1981]

In other words, Cruz loses the poll in every other demographic and barely edges Cruz, only by 41-38, in the white evangelical cited category which, no doubt, includes Mormons and Pentecostals, since neither are historically Protestant denominations.

[SeekAndFind]

Catholics are 42% for Trump as well, the majority are split between Cruz and Kasich.

[SeekAndFind]

RE: historically Protestant denominations.

The telling data on the chart is the frequency of church attendance.

[SeekAndFind]

RE: Real world TRUMPS your bogus polls. :)

Why is the poll bogus?

[af_vet_1981]

The telling data on the chart is the frequency of church attendance.

There is only one category in which Cruz demonstrably leads, and it spearheaded by Mormons and Pentecostals.

[Mechanicos]

Because it says Cruz does better with Evangelicals yet multiple states show the exact opposite in actual voting so far. Trump TRUMPS Cruz with Evangelicals in real world vs your bogus poll.

[ChessExpert]

I am confused with the term “evangelical.”

Evangelize means to preach or share the gospel. Isn’t it the same thing as the Great Commission? And doesn’t the great commission apply to all Christians?

I remember concluding that “right-wing” simply means that the press doesn’t like you. This was brought into clear focus when a French socialist and openly homosexual politician was labeled “right-wing.”

Is there a similar phenomenon at play when the press uses the tern “evangelical” Christian? It seems like a way to marginalize some Christians. It could be used as part of a divide and conquer strategy. Historically, Christians have fragmented easily: Catholic vs. Protestant, one Protestant denomination against another. Are we suckers or what?

[euram]

That’s why Cruz had one major victory after another throughout the entire South.