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To: frankenMonkey

Trump will get 70 to 75% of the delegates next Tuesday. Cruz 20 to 25% and Kasich maybe 5 to 10%, and this is conceding Utah to Cruz, which will likely end up mostly split between the two.


5 posted on 03/17/2016 5:27:55 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Cruz surrogates not even mentioning AZ on twitter. Conceding loss there, IMO.


6 posted on 03/17/2016 5:29:59 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: Red Steel
I did an explanation and prediction of the Utah primary process here. Predicted about 20-20 split Trump and Cruz, but with the Kasich endorsement Cruz might Luz.
8 posted on 03/17/2016 5:33:06 PM PDT by frankenMonkey (Trump 2016, because FUGOP)
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To: Red Steel

I’m not sure how much the Governor’s endorsement will help Kasich.

In order to vote for Kasich, you have to decide to make your vote worthless. Kasich voters might just as well stay home on election day.

Strategic voting will be very much on voters’ minds Tuesday. I doubt that Kasich will break 10%, but even that might be enough to deny Cruz 50% plus one, but maybe not.

I’ll call it this way

Cruz: >50%
Trump: 35%
Kasich: <15%


9 posted on 03/17/2016 5:33:17 PM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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