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Trump probably gets 1,237 even w/out OH
Mofopolitics ^ | Mar 10 2016 | Mofopolitics

Posted on 03/15/2016 7:06:11 PM PDT by WilliamIII

If we’re ultra-conservative w/ proportional contests, and assume Trump loses a number of states that he currently leads, he still gets ~1,300…

(Excerpt) Read more at mofopolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: oh2016; trump
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1 posted on 03/15/2016 7:06:11 PM PDT by WilliamIII
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To: WilliamIII

I dont see where Cruz can win east. Maybe Rhode Island or Delaware with funny turnout.


2 posted on 03/15/2016 7:10:02 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal (Mofopolitics: Trump probably gets 1,237 even w/out OH)
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To: WilliamIII

Nonsense. California has delegates by district.


3 posted on 03/15/2016 7:10:16 PM PDT by Iowa David
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To: WilliamIII

tell him to get the crow bar out and start setting up a mad ground game in psycho CA. THAT’S a place worth spending!!

he’ll take NY.

He takes CA and this thing is over!!

Any CA people getting a feel out there?


4 posted on 03/15/2016 7:10:26 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: Iowa David

I just made a CA post? what do you mean by districts?


5 posted on 03/15/2016 7:11:17 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: WilliamIII

the real problem is Trump is not attracting over 50% in many of these states.

Means most do not want him, although the same could be said of all.

It would be so much better if there was a true mandate instead of ‘the best we could get’


6 posted on 03/15/2016 7:13:34 PM PDT by doldrumsforgop
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To: WilliamIII

Cruz needs to get out , but the GOPe won’t let him ...funny how Cruz took the banking capital of the South in NC ...quite telling


7 posted on 03/15/2016 7:14:30 PM PDT by Neu Pragmatist (The Bushbots are now backing Cruz . Cruz is GOPe all the way ..any questions ?)
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To: WilliamIII

If Cruz is really smart, at some point he will realize Trump will arrive in Cleveland with more delegates, and he will defer to the opinion of the voters and keep the party whole.


8 posted on 03/15/2016 7:16:45 PM PDT by freedomjusticeruleoflaw (Western Civilization- whisper the words, and it will disappear. So let us talk now about rebirth.)
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To: doldrumsforgop

Hello concern troll. Welcome to FR.


9 posted on 03/15/2016 7:17:00 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: doldrumsforgop

the real problem is Trump is not attracting over 50% in many of these states.


Agree.


10 posted on 03/15/2016 7:17:50 PM PDT by volunbeer (ABH for President! - Anybody but Hillary)
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To: WilliamIII

Trump will win about 200 delegates putting him near 700 after tonight. He’s on his way.


11 posted on 03/15/2016 7:18:07 PM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODY'S BUSINESS:REMEMBER PASTOR NIEMOLLER)
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Comment #12 Removed by Moderator

To: Neu Pragmatist

Charlotte is NC banking capital and Trump won there. Cruz took Wake county the capital where long term idiots I mean government workers and liberal transplants live.


13 posted on 03/15/2016 7:19:17 PM PDT by nclaurel
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To: dp0622

Go to the link and see how he has Trump getting to 1300. He has Trump getting all 172 delegates.


14 posted on 03/15/2016 7:19:28 PM PDT by Iowa David
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To: luckystarmom

In CA?


15 posted on 03/15/2016 7:19:33 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: WilliamIII

I’ve been going over the numbers this evening.

Kasich and Rubio were both mathematically eliminated from obtaining a pre convention 1237 delegates today.

Both need close to 110% of the remaining delegates to meet that stipulation. Won states is another issue they couldn’t meet.

In rough numbers, after today... (not solid will vary a bit)

Cruz needs about 85% of remaining delegates.

Trump needs about 52.5% of remaining delegates.

I don’t think Cruz can reach the 8 state minimum at this point.

Trump already has.


16 posted on 03/15/2016 7:19:33 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: WilliamIII
Even if Trump is just short of the 1237 - say he has 1100, I don't know how he can be denied at the convention. Cruz could have around 800 (in a best case scenario). When all the other delegates are released, surely we would get at least a couple hundred more for Trump to put him over the top.

Not getting Ohio is a major blow for Trump (as I stated this morning) but the fact that Rubio dropped out and Cruz did so poorly tonight is the saving grace.

17 posted on 03/15/2016 7:19:46 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (Delegates So Far: Trump (578); Cruz (370); Kasich (129)
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To: Iowa David

thanks. I will now


18 posted on 03/15/2016 7:20:08 PM PDT by dp0622
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To: doldrumsforgop
the real problem is Trump is not attracting over 50% in many of these states.

Nonsense. Getting in the 40's in a four man race is better than getting 50's in a two man race.

19 posted on 03/15/2016 7:20:35 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: dp0622

Nope, Democrats and Republicans are working together to share votes to knock Trump out. That’s what happened in Ohio


20 posted on 03/15/2016 7:21:14 PM PDT by wiseprince
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