Women don't like Hillary. Quite a few are going for Sanders and won't vote for Hillary in the general. Trump won't win the black vote but he'll do a lot better with blacks than any other Republican can, I estimate he gets 25% of the black vote. Muslims are insignificant. Hispanics have numbers but they have low voter turnout. Also, they don't vote solely on immigration. Trump won't do much worse with hispanics than Romney did. The smart Jews like Trump's strong stand against Islamic terror, and his suspected social moderation doesn't hurt.
I don’t think Trump will do well with women.
A twice divorced billionaire with a trophy wife 25 years younger than him who campaigns by bragging and insulting. Yup, sounds like a candidate just made to garner women voters.
Actually, I'm a bit concerned about the Muslim votes. In fact, very concerned! Here is an article I've got from 2007:
"Did Muslim Vote In Virginia Swing Senate Control"
'The Detroit Free Press reports Muslims played a critical role in the November midterm elections.
Imam Mahdy Bray, Speaking at a Muslim American Society and Islamic Circle of North America convention in Dearborn, highlighted the effective effort to turn out Muslim voters in Virginia.
The effort was so organized that Muslim taxi drivers in northern Virginia took the day off to ferry Muslims to the polls, said Imam Mahdy Bray, a speaker at the convention. Volunteers also made phone calls to Muslims in Virginia to urge them to vote, he said.
As a result, Democrat James Webb ousted incumbent Republican George Allen by about 9,000 votes in a race in which 50,000 Muslims went to the polls -- 47,000 of them voting for Webb, Bray said.
For my money Senator Allen gets all the credit for running a losing campaign. Nevertheless, if 96 percent of Muslims are going to vote Democratic, that would make them a more reliable Democratic constituency than African Americans. Democrats consistently receive only about 80 percent of African American votes.
[March 2007]