[2ndDivisionVet]

Why do the head-to-head pols show Cruz stronger against Hillary than Trump is then? Or are they all wrong too?

[867V309]

Why do the head-to-head pols show Cruz stronger against Hillary than Trump is then?

I am SO GLAD you asked!

1. Trump has not run against hillary yet.

2. namby-pamby cruise has already said jefferson blythes felonies are off the table. He's just like mitt, failure to win.

[Happy Rain]

The Trumpkins just love the polls that favor their precious perfidious Donald but are in deep denial when they con’t.
But then just being Trumpkins shows they weren’t very bright to begin with.

[Nextrush]

If the GOPe seriously dislikes Trump and sees him as a sure loser for the party as a whole in November, they have only one good option, its Cruz or lose.

To rig the convention against Trump after he wins the caucuses and primaries would be a worse disaster.

Rubio needs to get out and Kasich, too.

They both need to endorse Ted so Cruz can make a run at Trump in Ohio and Florida, cause if Trump wins those winner take all states next week, I see Trump as rolling on to win the process.

[Fai Mao]

problems with head to head polls in this case

1. There is no national election so if you don’t break it down by states the number is meaningless Trump for example, could lose California by a huge margin but win Ohio, NY and Florida close. Trump could easily win the electoral win without winning the popular vote

2.Polls make assumptions of turnout and cross over votes based upon previous elections. If the turnout model is wrong the poll is wrong. There is some evidence that those models may be wrong.

3. See the article above about secret Trump voters. This further throws the reliability of the polls into some doubt.

4. It is a loong way until November. PIAPS has never had to defend herself. Trump shut PIAPS up with two tweets in January. The demodogs are used to controlling the media and the overall narrative of the campaign. Trump has shown that he can wrestle the control of the narrative away from demodogs.

5 Statistical models based upon history and sociological data that have predicted every presidential winner since 1960 show a Trump win.

6. The polls you mention show a very close race between Trump and PIAPS it isn’t like she is beating him by 20 or 39 points. A lot can happen to change that

7. Hillary may very well abandon the campaign because she will be in jail

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