Huff Po, Wash Post, Politico et al alternate by the hour between sandbagging conservatives with positive stories and then telling them they have no hope.
Let’s assume a Trump/Hillary matchup. I refuse to make a prediction this early (apart from a fervent rooting interest) but I do think that Camp Hill are living in a fool’s paradise for several reasons including, but not limited to:
1) The e-mail scandal. She’s got her friends in high places, which may or may not include Obama. But Obama has always worried only about Obama which may be the only thing protecting her from indictment. I keep hearing the FBI has pride - it’s well past time for them to prove it.
2) Bernie Sanders. Trump loses the odd state and we get ‘Man Lands On Moon’ sized headlines. Hillary can’t even reliably defeat the hand-picked, terminally-flawed, crazy-uncle tomato can the DNC provided for her. In multiple states. The media pretend this is entirely normal and STILL somehow indicative of her strength as a candidate and her inevitability - if they acknowledge her losses at all.
3) Bill Clinton. To say he has underwhelmed is to say that the 1976 Tampa Bay Bucs were less than competitive. He’s the spouse-in-name-only of the Dem candidate so they can’t hide him away entirely but by God they’re trying. He’s embarrassing himself (again) along with his so-called wife and her cronies who thought he might actually deliver votes.
4) Hillary herself. I will be the 9,847th person to note that people cannot stand her. And those are her own people.
5) Donald Trump. He has no need or want of maintaining some Dudley Doright image. The Clinton slime machine will, for once in its life, experience return fire with most of directed at the Clinton candidate who will whine about the GOP hitting the girl but Trump will not give a toss (if he’s smart and resists the media hue and cry). Her attempts to involve the GOP ‘good guys’ like McConnell, Ryan and Priebus will fall flat because they already hate Trump so their mock outrage will be ignored by one and all.
So has Nate Silver predicted anything yet??