According to the polls...
Trump was also up by about 12 in Kansas, and lost by 25.
He was nearly tied in Texas, and lost by 24.
He was thought to be so far ahead in Maine, nobody bothered polling. He got clobbered.
He was thought to be ahead in Minnesota and finished a distant 3rd.
He was thought to be ahead by 6-10 in Iowa, and just barely escaped 3rd.
In Kentucky, Trump was up by 20 over Cruz and won by 4.
In Louisiana, Trump was up by 15.6 over Cruz and lost on primary day (and wound up winning by 3 points including the early voters).
There was a post on here a couple days ago that showed how they are all doing in the poll vs actual results. Trump has underperformed by 1-2%, Cruz has overperformed by 24-25%. This covered all the primaries up to that date. Any polls taken before the last debate are pretty much WAG’s now.
You forgot Oklahoma. Trump was up +11 and lost by -6.
Seems like last minute deciders are afraid of him.
I like that he does Press conferences after the primaries instead of Ra-Ra speeches. It makes him look more Presidential.
His next debate performance has to be strong and have substance.
Sadly, I just don’t like Cruz. He seems like a typical slimy lawyer and politician to me.
I will vote for Trump just to have the chance to see someone really take it the Hitlery.
I discount caucus stares. With that said it is clear that late breaking undecideds are not going to Trump. The only decent polls that are close to the actual outcomes are those that force leaning results. There are few of those polls. I expect Mississippi and Michigan will be much closer than the pols show. Idaho will likely go Cruz and Hawaii is a caucus state where people are not paying attention. I go with an establishment candidate without any proof.
It will be interesting to,see how Michigan pans out among Trump, Cruz, and Kasich. If Kasich wins it says more about Ohio and the anti-Trump campaign by the GOPe. If Cru wins I believe it shows both the anti-Trump,campaign impact and Trump outsiders are beginning to shift allegiences. A big Trump win, ten or more points, will mean nothing has fundimentally changed.
Trump for President.
We could be dealing with voter fraud... we’ll see what happens in Florida...
I suspect foul play.