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To: Kaslin

I am of the opinion Cruz would crush Hillary.....55-45 with 300+ EVs....


2 posted on 02/10/2016 3:31:34 PM PST by wny
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To: wny

Curious..which 2012 Obama states would he flip to R?


3 posted on 02/10/2016 3:33:10 PM PST by nascarnation (Indict Hillary, Huma, and Chelsea; Deport Obama)
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To: wny
I am of the opinion Cruz would crush Hillary.....55-45 with 300+ EVs....

Too bad Hillary won't be the candidate.

Cruz needs 64 EVs that Romney lost. To get to 300, he needs 94 EVs that Romney lost.

Please enlighten us as to which Obama states are going for Cruz in November.

10 posted on 02/10/2016 3:55:55 PM PST by Jim Noble (I won't be laughing at the lies when I'm gone, and I won't question what or when or why when I'm gon)
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To: wny
Hillary is a horrible candidate, a phony and a liar and thoroughly corrupt (not that that bothers the demhole faithful). I have posted elsewhere my theory that Obama will not let her win, because he would become irrelevant, so the drip-drip-drip from the FBI will not stop. The Obama DOJ will hold this over her head and lower the boom at the proper time to take her out. The Clinton magic is gone (not that she ever had it, it was all Bill). If it even looks like Sanders got screwed out of a fair chance (like in NH, he crushes her and comes away with fewer delegates?) many Bernies will stay home rather than flock to Hillary. She has nothing left but the race and gender card and the msmwhores working 24/7 to destroy Cruz. That may work, but I do not think so this time. It will look desperate. Cruz will appear (because he is) rational and intelligent, calmly explaining his positions while politely disputing criticism and fending off the attacks. She will appear (because she is) vicious & vacuous, desperate and shrill. He will utterly destroy her in a one on one debate. None of this would matter if we were coming off 8-years of a R administration, whether they were good or bad times, and 8 years of relentless msmwhore hackery (see 2008). But now we’re coming off of the worst 8 years since the 1970s. How many times has a party won 3 consecutive WH terms? Reagan/Bush and 4FDR are the only 2 that come to mind. So the hope and change is gone as well. In 2008 Obama was new, optimistic, fresh (and clean as JB says) and the first AA president! Libholes swooned! Hillary is old, stale and so obviously full of $hit. I just don’t see her pulling this off. In the 2014 wave election many congressional districts had 10 point swings. Even rock-solid D districts with lifelong dems had these swing. Some of the old dinosaurs routinely reelected by 30% “only” won by 20%. All that said, I can reasonably see 5 to 10 point swings.

Obama won the following with less than 55% in 2012:

CO, FLA, IA, MI, MN, NV, NH, NM, OH, ORE, PA, VA, WI

These put 153 EVs in play (OK, I didn’t do the math earlier and maybe 300 is way too optimistic). Romney had 206, so Cruz would need 64 of these 153. Obama won FLA, OH & VA by 1.1% or less....that’s 60. He needs 4 ......

Obama won CO, IA, NH & PA 2% or less....MN, NV, NM, WI by 3% or less. Anyone of these puts him over the top.

Its along way off and a lot can happen, but I don’t see why many think it’s impossible for Cruz to beat the old witch.

26 posted on 02/11/2016 5:44:42 AM PST by wny
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