[who knows what evil?]

It’s possible that it undersamples the Cruz voter demographic - religious and very conservative voters who tend to turn out rain or shine.

Tough to under-sample the ones in soviet Red Hampshire since there are only 5 or 6 of them in the first place.

[Zhang Fei]

Tough to under-sample the ones in soviet Red Hampshire since there are only 5 or 6 of them in the first place.

Given the fact that in the past 2 decades, Republicans have won more victories in Congress and the Senate, I'd say it's a purple state. Note that Dubya won NH in 2000 and lost it by less than 2% in 2004.