Drudge: FINAL DES MOINES REGISTER/BLOOMBERG POLL:Trump 28% Cruz 23% Rubio 15%

Drudge ^ | 30 Jan 16

[TomGuy]

According to wikipedia, starting in 2016 in Republican caucuses,

“... the delegates are bound to vote for candidates in proportion to the votes cast for each candidate at the caucus sites.”

[LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget]

It is a date. ;-)

I’m an old codger myself, just young at heart and understand this tech stuff pretty well.... too well in fact.

[Repeal The 17th]

—> ... All states voting before March 15 are proportional ... <—
-
Those are the Republican rules; I have no idea what the Democrat rules are.

[JediJones]

Once the Cruz voters drag all their churchgoing friends and family to the caucuses, he should get the bump he needs to win. Go Cruz!

[xzins]

In a lot of states they are proportional at some percentage of delegates and proportional at number of counties or districts won. I can’t say how Iowa does it. My memory says that Romney and Santorun split Iowa about evenly in 2012.

[ripnbang]

True. I was not inferring they were going to Trump, however look at Huck’s and Santorum’s numbers in the final poll.

[TomGuy]

If it holds, this could be a fun season watching the citizens cram a candidate — either Trump or Cruz — down the throats of the RNC and establish Republicans for a change.

[xzins]

As with all background data, it all ends up adding up to the final result.

The best poll will be Monday, and it will be the final, final result. The larger the turnout, the more likely it will reflect the range that these polls have all shown.

[ripnbang]

Actually Romney won on Caucus night. About 4 weeks later after the counting was done he actually had 38 more votes.

[xzins]

As a pastor, let me assure you that in some churches that might be true, but in other churches it isn’t.

Sadly, the most politically active churches the last 2 decades have been the liberal ones. That says to me that Sanders will win Iowa over Clinton.

[ripnbang]

See post #28

[11th Commandment]

No need to trash the poll, just quote the article:

Trump excels with voters who have never participated in the caucuses. But the poll, conducted Tuesday through Friday, detects no flood of fresh voters.

"The drill-down shows, if anything, stronger alignment with Cruz than Trump...

there's still a strong case for Cruz in this race — he's more popular and respected than Trump..

another sign of a possible cliffhanger Monday night: Although just 9 percent of likely GOP caucusgoers haven't yet made a choice, they're part of the 45 percent who could be persuaded to change their minds in the final hours....(Trump) is does not register for second choice

[Georgia Girl 2]

Its Iowa anybody could win. Don’t faint if Carson wins.

[Repeal The 17th]

Yes, and some states require a "minimum threshold" to be reached before being awarded a candidate to the national convention.

Primary Date	State/Territory	# Delegates
02/01/2016	Iowa	27
02/09/2016	New Hampshire	20
02/20/2016	South Carolina	47
02/23/2016	Nevada	27
03/01/2016	Alabama	47
03/01/2016	Alaska	25
03/01/2016	Arkansas	37
03/01/2016	Georgia	73
03/01/2016	Massachusetts	39
03/01/2016	Minnesota	35
03/01/2016	North Dakota	25
03/01/2016	Oklahoma	40
03/01/2016	Tennessee	55
03/01/2016	Texas	152
03/01/2016	Vermont	13
03/01/2016	Virginia	46
03/01/2016	Wyoming	26
03/05/2016	Kansas	40
03/05/2016	Kentucky	42
03/05/2016	Louisiana	43
03/05/2016	Maine	20
03/06/2016	Puerto Rico	20
03/08/2016	Hawaii	16
03/08/2016	Idaho	32
03/08/2016	Michigan	56
03/08/2016	Mississippi	36
03/12/2016	District of Columbia	16
03/12/2016	Guam	6
03/15/2015	Florida	99
03/15/2015	Illinois	66
03/15/2015	Missouri	49
03/15/2015	North Carolina	69
03/15/2015	Marianas	6
03/15/2015	Ohio	63
03/19/2016	Virgin Islands	6
03/22/2016	American Samoa	6
03/22/2016	Arizona	58
03/22/2016	Utah	40
04/05/2016	Wisconsin	42
04/09/2016	Colorado	37
04/19/2016	New York	92
04/26/2016	Connecticut	25
04/26/2016	Delaware	16
04/26/2016	Maryland	38
04/26/2016	Pennsylvania	68
04/26/2016	Rhode Island	16
05/03/2016	Indiana	54
05/10/2016	Nebraska	33
05/10/2016	West Virginia	31
05/17/2016	Oregon	25
05/27/2016	Washington	41
06/07/2016	California	169
06/07/2016	Montana	24
06/07/2016	New Jersey	51
06/07/2016	New Mexico	21
06/07/2016	South Dakota	26

[LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget]

If Cruz gets crammed they will chew him up. If Donald gets crammed he will choke them to death, rip off their heads and crap down their gurgling throats.

Want to guess which one I want to cram down their greedy self serving condescending asinine gullets?

[the jogger]

In four days of polling, Romney leads at 24 percent, Paul has 22 percent and Rick Santorum, 15 percent.

[JediJones]

I think Sanders winning over Clinton is the most likely outcome on the Democrat side too. Especially since on the Democrat side, they apparently have a longer caucus process with speeches made by supporters. It sounds like the enthusiasm for Sanders will be bigger and be able to win over some people at the caucus.

[rwoodward]

just like the old saying..if you cruz you lose!

[LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget]

Give it up campaign op.... we know who you are and who you work for. Bugger off as the Brits would say.

[Gene Eric]

The base is energized. And the primary battles are good practice for the general. They’ll unite.