Posted on 01/26/2016 1:24:18 PM PST by TangledUpInBlue
Donald Trump holds his lead for the GOP nomination and has soared in expectations: 64 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents now expect him to be the partyâs nominee, up sharply in the last two months.
Expectations that Trump will win the nomination have jumped by 25 percentage points since November among Republican-leaning voters in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll. Two-thirds also say theyâd accept him as their partyâs nominee. And heâs seen by 56 percent as their most electable nominee in the general election this fall.
(Excerpt) Read more at gma.yahoo.com ...
BIG lead..big!
As in Yuuuuuuge!!!!
It could not be any clearer.
The Constitution now says whatever the hell five out of nine Supreme Court Justices want it to say. IMHO, this is the primary issue in the election next year.
Four Justices will be over 80 years old next year (Kennedy, Scalia, Ginsburg and Breyer). Of the remaining five Justices, two are young far left-wing Obama appointees who will be legislating from the bench for the next 30 years (Sotomayor and Kagan), two are reliable conservatives (Thomas and Alito) and the other is a flipper (Roberts).
I am betting that Obama will get to replace at least one of the octogenarian Justices (Ginsburg) and possibly two (Breyer) before he leave office. Ginsburg will step down immediately after the current Court term and if at least a couple of RINOs join with the Democrats to confirm Obama’s far left-wing replacement then Breyer will announce his retirement so that Obama will get to pick his far left-wing replacement as well. That would leave only two octogenarian Justices (Scalia and Kennedy) for the next President to replace, and four young, reliable far left-wing Justices firmly planted on the Court.
If any three of the four octogenarian Justices are replaced with liberals then a far left-wing oligarchy of Supreme Court Justices will rule over every aspect of our lives for the next generation to come. Say goodbye to the Second Amendment, free speech, and every other right that is currently hanging on by a 5 to 4 thread.
On the other hand, if any three of the octogenarians are replaced with strict construction conservatives, then they can join with Thomas and Alito and reverse Roe, homosexual marriage, Obamacare, and every other liberal Supreme Court decree over the past 40 years.
Remember, though, that not a single vote has been cast yet.
At this time four years ago, the leaders in Iowa were Gingrich and Ron Paul. Neither even finished in the top two.
Half of Iowa caucusgoers make up their minds in the last week — many on caucus day.
Anything can happen. Cruz is generally conceded to have the best ground game and a TV blitz for him has just started.
This article isn’t really discussing Iowa nor was I. I’ve suspected all along that Cruz will win Iowa. I still think that. Trump will place 2nd and then go on to win New Hampshire. After that, it’ll be interesting to see who drops out and where their support goes.
Most supporters of the other candidates seem to have Cruz as their second choice.
His opponents aren’t taking this lying down. I’ve seen tons of hate-filled neocons frothing at the mouth about how Trump is Hitler, and barrages of stuff about how Trump is actually Hillary or Sanders in disguise. I just saw an article by an Arab about how evil Trump is. I couldn’t help but laugh thinking about how the neocons, Arabs and Muslims have joined forces against Trump.
Of course it all smells of fear and desperation.
I actually love the smell of Fear and Desperation in the morning.
I guess if I support Trump I have now assumed the title of GOPe? Sticks and stones may break my bones...
Not a single primary yet and the GOPe are calling it? This is worse than when Brokaw called Florida for Gore back in 2000 with only .5% of the polls reporting.
I actually love the smell of desperation in the morning...
Me too but it’s later in the afternoon here on the 3rd Coast and the smell is just as strong as it was when this thread was posted. Lots of Canadians down here this time of year doncha know.
Please God, let these polls be wrong and let Ted Cruz win.
I am hoping Donald recent attacks calling Cruz a liar and that no one likes him will backfire on him. Donald Trump is aloud mouth that needs to be humbled.
Well said! That is my biggest fear with Trump, that he will get to appoint 2 to 4 more liberals to the court. Scary thoughts!
“Remember, though, that not a single vote has been cast yet.
At this time four years ago, the leaders in Iowa were Gingrich and Ron Paul. Neither even finished in the top two.”
So true. The Iowa polls are always off. It’s hard to poll a caucus.
My hope is Cruz will win Iowa, finish 3rd in NH, maybe 2nd. Then that sets up a big showdown with Trump in SC.
If Cruz wins Iowa, I expect Trump to have a big meltdown Howard Dean style. Hopefully a lot of his support then defects to Ted Cruz.
You are assuming that the Senate will confirm any strict constructionist, conservative appointees. I know it shouldn’t even be an issue with a Republican majority Senate, but history with this Senate proves otherwise. That also assumes the Senate stays Repub after this election.
After reading many of these “Knee Jerk” reactionary comments about Mr. Trump, it is quite interesting to note that many do not like his loud mouth. Funny, you finally have a candidate that refuses to lie down to anyone. He knows how to play the oppositions game and is beating them and many of you do not like it. Pretty telling...
And almost all, if not all, polls are tending Trump in Iowa, even the Q poll that shows Trump up by 2, but in that same poll he was behind from last month. They’re trending Trump...in Iowa.
I doubt Trump has a meltdown if he loses Iowa. He’s not been expected to win Iowa and his leads are too big in the next several states to sweat it. No, all it will do is delay the inevitable and give Ted a week to celebrate.
IMO, it never should have been close in Iowa for Cruz. And it still may not be close. The
major question is who will caucus this time? If it’s the normal caucus goers then Cruz wins
going away. On the other hand if a lot of new caucus participants show up it becomes a
crap shoot. Apparently Trump has some on the ground campaign efforts in Iowa but how
many I have no idea.
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