[TBBT]

Polls, polls, polls...

Careful about the polls. As Rush notes often - MSM often produces polls to drive an outcome/narrative, not to report on one.

[cripplecreek]

FReepers used to know this.

[montag813]

Cruz still leads Monmouth by 2, but that oversamples Evangelicals. If they turn out strongly, it could be a big night for Cruz

[DoughtyOne]

If you feel like it, join in the Free Republic Caucus (each day)

Thank you.  Be sure to read the rules and follow them so your candidate will benefit from your vote.

LINK to Caucus 01/21/2016

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We've very lucky to have this forum where we can debate the issues of the day.

[libbylu]

Just looking at internals for Iowa monmouth polls:
28.6% of Trump supporters list say they have no transportation compared to 0% for Cruz supporters.
Cruz leads 27-25.
Off to check the other for internals.
People forget only 4% NH say they will never for Cruz, same as June. DT has grown to 30% will never vote Trump.

[Berlin_Freeper]

CNN poll invents more voters than they have viewers. Not hard to do actually.

[FourPeas]

The guys at 538 have a great polls rating page. Comes in handy when considering the latest so-called data.

[dschapin]

Ok, that explains why that poll was so far out there.

[Uncle Miltie]

“the CNN poll implies a turnout of about 320K in the Iowa GOP caucus, versus ~120K in 2012”

So Trump crushes because the electorate might triple?

We’ll see....

[freddy005]

“CNN poll implies a turnout of about 320K in the Iowa GOP caucus”
_______________________________________________________________________________________
How is that even possible? Isn’t that the whole adult population Iowa? Or is that New Hampshire? Which is smaller in population? I forget......

[cornfedcowboy]

The turnout might be 150K on a wild night. That is tops. 320K? Even 200K is dreaming. That poll is just stupid.

[maddog55]

Like this pole.. you never know what you're gonna get:

[Mase]

If 320,000 show up for the caucuses vs 120,00 in 2012, then what’s the reason for the incredible increase? CNN doesn’t say but someone or some thing is the driver.

[SmokingJoe]

CNN thinks voter turn out in Iowa will TRIPLE in just 4 years? CNN is nuts.

[spintreebob]

How many precincts will each candidate win? And by what margin? In which precincts will the supporters of Huckabee, Santorum, etal try to stop one of the leaders? In which precincts will supporters of one of the leaders piss off the supporters of Huckabee, Santorum, etal?

Precinct caucuses go to a congressional district caucus, right? In which congressional district will which candidate have critical mass?

Aren’t Convention Delegates by Congressional District? Not by Precinct?