I’ve lived in downstate NY (on Long Island) my entire life. I’ve seen lots of Trump support around - much, much more than I saw for Romney in 2012 and we’re still a month from the first PRIMARY vote and 11 months from the general.
It’d be an uphill climb but it’s in the realm of possibility. I wouldn’t count it likely...but possible.
I grew up on Long Island.....decades ago.
As you know, there are a lot of Republicans on Long Island, including most of my relatives who still live there.
Didn’t Romney get roughly 50% of the vote in Suffolk County in the 2012 general election? I think Trump would do much better there this November.