There is about 27% still favoring the PeeWees. Where will those people go? My guess is very little will move to Trump (they’re with the PeeWees because they don’t like Trump, and they are obviously not into the “not another politician” meme, because they are already supporting “politicians.”). I’m guessing Cruz and Rubio will pickup almost all of that, though a bit of Rand’s support might go to Trump.
Seriously, will the Bush-Kasich-Christie-Fiorina-Santorum grouping go to Trump? Highly unlikely. Carson has a better shot at it, but I don’t think he’ll get much either.
And if Carson flags, Trump will have a hard time picking up that vote. Carson gets a lot of support because of personality (some people, yes in the GOP, are sick of bickering and are eager for a soft-voiced candidate (and there’s no way Trump gets that vote).
Agreed. Trump will need a soft voice polite guy on the ticket to pick up that support. If not Carson himself, then Cruz or somebody like Jeff Sessions.
I think the 2 - 3% are staying in to see what the real numbers are when some of the front runner outsiders collapse or leave or whatever. That is the only reason they are staying in with 2 - 3 %