Hurricane Olaf (Vanity)

[rey]

I am having trouble with my satellite service. What are they saying about Hurricane Olaf? Last I heard it is expected to weaken to a tropical depression as it moves east of Hawaii and heads east. I am north of San Francisco Bay and last I heard we were to have heavy weather from it by Tuesday.

I know it is early but where do they think it will hit? Expected path after land fall?

Thanks

Updates would be appreciated

[Excellence]

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2015/Hurricane-Olaf

Go to their wundermap and find the weather station nearest to you. Click on that and go to the scientific forecast discussion.

[rey]

Thanks. This site isn’t too bloated. Most news sites have too much peripheral stuff and don’t load cleanly with my satellite issue.

Thanks to Jim for keeping this site so clean.

[Pete from Shawnee Mission]

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep1915web.txt

REMARKS:
232200Z POSITION NEAR 17.2N 146.2W.
HURRICANE 19E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 533 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 240400Z, 241000Z, 241600Z AND 242200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

map

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep1915.gif

satellite

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/19E_231800sams.jpg

[Pete from Shawnee Mission]

Surface wind map

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-158.69,22.04,303

[Qiviut]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP192015
1100 AM HST FRI OCT 23 2015

...OLAF TRACKING NORTH AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

---

LOCATION...17.1N 146.3W
ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

---

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

---

AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.3 WEST. OLAF IS CURRENTLY
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST LATER TODAY WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY...WITH SOME
SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OLAF IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

---

SURF...LONG-PERIOD SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG EAST FACING
SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS INTO THIS WEEKEND. SEE THE COASTAL
HAZARD MESSAGE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN HONOLULU FOR DETAILS.

NEXT ADVISORY

---

NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD

[goodwithagun]

He likes warm hugs.

[Talisker]

Most of the well nino effect will be far south of sf. There will be some rain, but from the outer fringe, and the weather should stay warm.

[UCANSEE2]

I find this an easy way to watch a hurricane, or anything else windwise.

I've centered it on Hawaii and zoomed in. You can check on any location on the planet, instantly. Click and drag to move around. Mouse wheel to zoom in or out.

Earth Wind Map

[deport]

YOu have a few days of work before it gets to land it looks like.

[Excellence]

The wundermap is amazing. You can later anything you want on it, even weather data.

[wrench]

http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/

This loads quickly and gives several forecast models.