Here in Virginia, the outlier forecast had Joaquin moving right up the middle of Chesapeake Bay. The seven other commonly used models had it going way east of the coast.
Gov. McAwful wet his pants and declared a state of emergency within hours.
I have to give Virginia’s governor an “good decision” on this one. In emergency preparedness, it is better to have the resources and people in place before the storm arrives rather than trying to get them out afterwards.