Posted on 09/02/2015 8:58:12 PM PDT by BenLurkin
The Chinese economic slowdown, though long anticipated, "appears to have larger-than-previously-envisaged" repercussions in other countries, the IMF said. China's troubles have sent the prices of raw materials such as oil and copper into a freefall, pinching Brazil, Russia and other commodity exporters.
The report did not revise the fund's economic forecasts for this year, last updated in July, though it concluded that "downside risks have risen."
The IMF expects the global economy to grow 3.3 per cent this year, little-changed from 3.4 per cent in 2014; the U.S. economy to grow 2.5 per cent, versus 2.4 per cent in 2014; the 19-country eurozone to grow 1.5 per cent, nearly double 2014's 0.8 per cent; and China to grow 6.8 per cent, down from 7.4 per cent last year.
Some economists expect Chinese growth to decelerate even more -- to below 6 per cent. The Chinese stock market has been falling since mid-June, and on Aug. 11 Chinese authorities unexpectedly devalued China's currency, the yuan. They said they were responding to signals from investors that the currency was overvalued. But skeptics feared it was a desperation move to give Chinese exporters a competitive advantage -- and a sign the economy was weaker than anybody realized.
...
The IMF is also worried about the potential fallout if the U.S. Federal Reserve decides this year to raise the short-term interest rate it controls, pinned near zero for seven years. Higher U.S. rates would likely lure investment out of emerging markets to America and drive up the value of the U.S. dollar. That could shake up global markets. It could also squeeze emerging-market companies that have borrowed in U.S. dollars and would have to scrounge up more money in their local currencies to meet the payments.
(Excerpt) Read more at ctvnews.ca ...
They’ve been saying all day on the radio that Obonzo’s “conomy b boomin’”.
is china growing at 6.4% now sold to us as a negative
US growing at 2.5% is sold to us as a great positive
The IMF has it a bit backwards. China is dependent on exports for the health of its export oriented manufacturing economy. The world is in recession, less productive and is buying far fewer Chinese products. If you can’t sell business contracts.
Jeff Berwick-Nothing but Black Swans Ahead
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9DT4qrrRe7Q
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.