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IOWA: CARSON, TRUMP TIE FOR LEAD
Monmouth University Poll | Monday, August 31, 2015 | PATRICK MURRAY

Posted on 08/31/2015 8:32:30 AM PDT by Hojczyk

When Iowa Republicans are asked who they would support in their local caucus, Ben Carson (23%) and Donald Trump (23%) tie for the top spot. The next tier of candidates includes Carly Fiorina (10%) and Ted Cruz (9%), followed by Scott Walker (7%), Jeb Bush (5%), John Kasich (4%), Marco Rubio (4%), and Rand Paul (3%). The last two Iowa caucus victors, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, each garner 2% of the vote. None of the other six candidates included in the poll register more than 1% support.

“These results mark a significant shake-up in the leaderboard from Monmouth’s Iowa poll taken before the first debate,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ. “Carson and, to a lesser extent, Fiorina have surged, while Walker has faded into the background.” In mid-July, Walker was the front runner in Iowa, with Trump and Carson following behind. Since then, Walker’s support has dropped by 15 points, while Carson’s has increased by 15 points and Trump’s by 10 points. Support has also increased for Fiorina by 7 points since Monmouth’s last Iowa poll.

Only 12% of likely Republican caucusgoers say they are completely decided on which candidate they will support in February. Another 42% have a strong preference now but are willing to consider

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/85775b52-ec99-4ad3-bbee-14826bdf86e5.pdf


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; carson; ia2016; iowa; trump
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1 posted on 08/31/2015 8:32:30 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/85775b52-ec99-4ad3-bbee-14826bdf86e5.pdf


2 posted on 08/31/2015 8:33:03 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Trump/Carson...what a GREAT ticket that would be. Could not lose.


3 posted on 08/31/2015 8:35:46 AM PDT by GodAndCountryFirst
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To: GodAndCountryFirst

I think you need one politician, don’t care if it’s the top or the bottom of the ticket. If you don’t know the way things work, you cannot change it.


4 posted on 08/31/2015 8:37:58 AM PDT by Hildy (God bless America, God bless SIlverton, Colorado and God protect us from the EPA.)
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To: GodAndCountryFirst
Could not lose.

Hopefully, but never underestimate Democrat voter fraud. The good thing about Trump is that he wouldn't accept fraud like previous wimps have.

5 posted on 08/31/2015 8:39:47 AM PDT by Right Brother
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To: Hojczyk

What this indicates to me is that the race is still very fluid.

Most importantly, Trump and Carson are non-politicians, which is truly stunning.


6 posted on 08/31/2015 8:40:14 AM PDT by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: Hojczyk

“These results mark a significant shake-up in the leaderboard from Monmouth’s Iowa poll taken
before the first debate,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling
Institute in West Long Branch, NJ. “Carson and, to a lesser extent, Fiorina have surged, while Walker
has faded into the background.”
In mid-July, Walker was the front runner in Iowa, with Trump and Carson following behind.
Since then, Walker’s support has dropped by 15 points, while Carson’s has increased by 15 points and
Trump’s by 10 points. Support has also increased for Fiorina by 7 points since Monmouth’s last Iowa poll.

Where is the Fiorina SURGE? LOL.


7 posted on 08/31/2015 8:40:51 AM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: Hojczyk
Jebbie is down to 5% - Wow.

Combine Trump/Carson/Cruz/Fiorina and you have 2/3 of the total Iowa vote. All non-establishment.

8 posted on 08/31/2015 8:42:01 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (We gave GOP the majority to take care of business and they let us down. Time for Trump/Cruz)
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To: Hojczyk

Trump is stuck at 20-25%. Carson has emerged as the anti-Trump that people that don’t like him are rallying around. Not sure who will ultimately be the anti-Trump, but I think Trump loses Iowa.


9 posted on 08/31/2015 8:42:04 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: GodAndCountryFirst

I would never have dreamed that Carson would be at the top of the pack.


10 posted on 08/31/2015 8:42:45 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Hojczyk

Carson the NON-politician, is leap frogging over all career politicians. People have finally realized that professional politicians lie a lot, make promises to voters, but then do what their sugar daddy’s want done, which is always AGAINST the interests of middle class.

Pray America is waking.


11 posted on 08/31/2015 8:43:13 AM PDT by entropy12 (Trump is incorruptible. He is the only one who can run a campaign without rich donors.)
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To: Hildy

I agree....I think Trump has other plans for Carson....and Carson knows it.


12 posted on 08/31/2015 8:43:24 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
"Most importantly, Trump and Carson are non-politicians, which is truly stunning."

Not really very stunning when you look at the liars and cheats who made promises, took our vote based on same, and then stuck it up our a$$es.

Pee-Wee Herman could out poll Boehner and McConnell combined.

13 posted on 08/31/2015 8:43:40 AM PDT by blackdog (There is no such thing as healing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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To: Hojczyk

Jun 20, 2015 “Dr. Ben Carson said America’s borders must be sealed to protect against terrorism and told a prominent group of Latino elected officials that he also supports giving illegal immigrants a path to legalization and eventual citizenship . . .”

http://joemiller.us/2015/06/ben-carson-now-backs-amnesty-for-illegals/


14 posted on 08/31/2015 8:45:52 AM PDT by glenduh
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To: wolfman23601

Walker is toast, Bush is toast, and so are all others in Iowa. It will now be a duel between Trump & Carson, and either one will be a great president.


15 posted on 08/31/2015 8:46:16 AM PDT by entropy12 (Trump is incorruptible. He is the only one who can run a campaign without rich donors.)
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To: Hojczyk

Bush - 5%. I’m lovin’ it!


16 posted on 08/31/2015 8:46:25 AM PDT by Graybeard58 (Hillary not only brings old baggage wherever she goes, she picks up new baggage when she gets there)
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To: Hojczyk

The GOPe will not include Fiorina in the next varsity team debate even though she is polling at 10%. However, they probably will include another female to make up for it; Linda Graham. And, no I’m not a big Fiorina fan although she would be a better choice than most of the others.


17 posted on 08/31/2015 8:47:10 AM PDT by ImNotLying
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To: Hojczyk

How are Bernie and the bitch matching up in Iowa?


18 posted on 08/31/2015 8:47:44 AM PDT by Graybeard58 (Hillary not only brings old baggage wherever she goes, she picks up new baggage when she gets there)
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To: GodAndCountryFirst

They have been friends for years.


19 posted on 08/31/2015 8:48:05 AM PDT by hoosiermama ( Read my lips: no more Bushes)
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To: Hojczyk

Looks like Carson’s increase has come more from the shares of Establishments drones. This is a good thing.


20 posted on 08/31/2015 8:49:17 AM PDT by Wilderness Conservative
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