[MinorityRepublican]

In a hypothetical scenario, Obama will win 3rd term quite easily. His coalition of progressives, blacks and millenials will turn out to vote for him.

[MinorityRepublican]

The same coalition will fragment for Hillary’s bid for Presidency in 2016.

[nascarnation]

I agree.
He won in 2012 (332 evs) with $4 gas, surging food prices, 8% unemployment (13% actual), trillion dollar deficits, Benghazi, and Obamacare.
His 2016 path would be easier assuming no big changes between now and then.

[rktman]

You forgot the millions of trespassers who will somehow be eligible to vote just in time.

[research99]

Another hypothetical scenario: At a deadlocked Demo convention, a voice vote nominates Michelle Obama as the party candidate for 2016.

Don't believe it could happen?
Watch discussion of this motion and vote, from the 2012 convention:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cncbOEoQbOg