"THERE COULD COME A POINT WHERE DEMOCRATS CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE ANY MORE WHITE VOTERS"

Frontpage Mag ^ | 07/18/2015 | Daniel Greenfield

[SeekAndFind]

Hillary Clinton has been doubling down on Obama's radical coalition strategy, but that depends on passionate base turnout and the only people passionate about Hillary hate her. Meanwhile the Democrats are losing white voters badly.

"Democrats are hemorrhaging those voters and need to figure out how to stop the bleeding," said Mo Elleithee, a former top Democratic National Committee official who now runs Georgetown University's Institute of Politics and Public Service. "There could come a point where Democrats cannot afford to lose any more white voters. It's in the interest of Democrats to be taking steps to reverse that now."

Elleithee pointed to Florida, where President Obama's 2-and-a-half-point 2008 victory narrowed to a 1-point 2012 win, which then became a 1-point loss in Democrat Charlie Crist's run for governor in 2014—even though the Crist campaign hit its turnout targets for African-Americans and Latinos.

Steve Schale worked on all three campaigns. He said it makes more sense to increase support from whites just a little bit than trying to boost support from minority groups a lot. "Take Hispanics alone: Every point of white share you lose, you have to win Hispanics by 4 to 5 points more" to make up for it, Schale said. "In '08, we knew if we really focused on keeping whites above 40 (percent), we couldn't lose. To me, that makes more sense than always trying to cobble out a tight win. And at some point we are going to max out (with) Hispanics."

And Hispanic votes tend to shift with the general electorate, like Jewish votes, unlike black votes which are much less mobile. That makes reliance on a Hispanic voting bloc a risky strategy. But the Dem left has its head and it loathes white voters.

Hillary Clinton is increasingly outsourcing her campaign to corporate consultants who are treating it like a marketing opportunity and left-wing veterans of Obama who are trying out the same playbook.

But tellingly it's a Democrat who warns about the importance of white voters and a Republican who dismisses them.

Meanwhile, Republican pollster Bill McInturff scratches his head while watching all this hand-wringing over a demographic group that will continue to decline in significance. For one thing, he said, the 27-percentage point advantage Republicans built among white men in 2012 is probably about as bad as it can get for Clinton, given that a sizeable percentage of white men are white-collar liberals.

McInturff has prepared an analysis that even increases the Republican advantage with white men, to 31 percent, and decreases the GOP's disadvantage among black and Latino voters slightly. But it still shows Republicans losing the next election by 3 points.

So to him, it's not even worth debating whether Clinton should work to appeal more to white men, which her husband Bill Clinton successfully did 23 years ago, rather than the "Obama coalition" of urban whites, young people, and minorities.

"The hell with it," he said. "For all the trees that have been killed by the press about which strategy she should pursue, her campaign is doing exactly the right thing. There's not a choice. She's pursuing the one strategy that will win the presidency."

And this in a snapshot is why we're losing. The Democrats are abandoning white voters, but so are Republicans.

[Zuse]

Bernie Sanders is very white from a very white state.

[RIghtwardHo]

Well this is wishful thinking by someone.

The GOP Latino vote is gone. period. And there are PLENTY of white Libtards around.

We are a polarized electorate. BIG time. There isn’t going to be any shift of significance.

But hey, happy talk before each General Election has worked out SO well for us since 2008 hasn’t it?

[philetus]

And yet the white dems seem to think they will still be in power and ruling it all.

[Sivad]

Once they (the Rats) figure out that they
don’t need white voters then how much longer
after will it take them to figure out that
they no longer need white political candidates?

[Will88]

A problem with this theory is the several liberal states where whites are a very high percentage (80% to 95%) of the population: the New England states, Minnesota, Washington, Oregon and Wisconsin to a lesser extent.

Those states, and maybe a few others, are where the left still gets a high percentage of the white vote and still carries the states easily in presidential and most statewide elections.

If those white folks who live with few of the problems of the multicultural society opened their eyes to what is happening, then national elections could be swung much more towards more conservative candidates.

[henkster]

The floodgates were creaking in 2000 and 2004; the democrat/communist media propaganda complex threw everything it had into the fight and almost kept the White House in 2000, and made a very good run in 2004. Both times the democrat/communist party ran totally unqualified bozos who would have made disastrous Presidents. And they barely lost.

In 2008, the floodgates burst. Again, they ran a totally unqualified bozo who made for a disastrous President. But he was black, so it was racist to oppose him. And in 2008, the GOP ran a lifeless bozo of their own.

We are a polarized electorate, and the democrat/communist party owns all of the “aggrieved minorities” as well as enough dependent and “true believer” liberal whites.

[TBP]

But they will keep doing so. That’s why they need fraudulent illegal votes.

[Thud]

Nah, it doesn’t matter who they vote for, or if they vote at all, or if they even exist. What counts is what a judge says after a lawsuit about any given election.

[BobL]

See my ‘about’ page. Whites are already voting 75-89% Republican in the South, and Hispanics are nearly splitting their vote down the middle here (unlike blacks, there is a limit to how much crap the Hispanics will tolerate from Democrats).

You (and I) are TOTALLY RIGHT. Democrats know it and have known it for at least a decade. Most likely the media knows it too. I don’t know if Republican ‘leaders’ understand it - but they certainly act as if they don’t.

[clearcarbon]

"THERE COULD COME A POINT WHERE DEMOCRATS CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE ANY MORE WHITE VOTERS"

What happens if that large block of undocumented immigrants becomes self aware in 2016 and decides to run it's own legitimate candidates for the presidency and State governorships?