yes
I would not call any of the 3 swing states. not at this point.
In a close election, PA goes DEM and OH & FL go GOP. so their a other states that could go either way in an uncertain election. There are no swing states in an election that isn’t close.
my list of swing states and Obama margin
Colorado, 5.37%
New Hampshire, 5.58%
Iowa, 5.81%
Nevada, 6.68%
Wisconsin, 6.94%
if DEMS win them all, they’ve won. GOP needs one of them to win. And NH is only 4 EV
Ohio is a classic swing state. It has been on the winning side of presidential election since 1964. It voted for RN over JFK in 1960 putting it on the losing side of that election...but that election was stolen anyways by the Kennedys in Il and TX. FL too is usually a good bell weather.
The following 10 states decide presidential elections:
Three in the West: NV,NM, and CO.
Three in the Midwest: IA, OH, and IN.
Three in the South: VA,NC, and FL.
One in the Northeast: NH
The rest of the 40 states have pretty well established voting patterns in presidential elections for the last twenty years or so.
the working theory goes something like this:
If a POTUS election shifts such that it came down to one deciding state (like FLA in 2000 and OH in 2004) ... the one state is the pinnacle.
thus, ask yourself, in 2016, which states could be the pinnacle? not OH and not FLA. the country has shifted and OH and FLA cannot be the deciders. Not with the current paradigm. Obviously, anything can happen ... something peculiar. Walker could win Wisconsin and lose OH. but normally that scenario is out.