I don't believe that conventional wisdom will hold up for this election.
It's also meaningless in this part of the election process.
I'll keep sending my time and money to Cruz.
/johnny
Is it? Most of republican elites try spinning a fairy tale that Hispanics, for example, are natural Republicans despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary. They tell us not to worry about the unending importation of groups that vote at least 60% Democrat every time, or they tell us to worry, but say all will be fine if we all just surrender unconditionally on immigration policy.
I like Cruz on most issues, but he is a liberal on legal immigration. In the end that will matter more than anything else when the electorate is comprised of too many who will never consider voting conservative.