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US Surrender On Breakout Time To Bomb Leads To Nuclear Deal Breakthrough (debka)
Debkafiles ^ | March 29, 2015, 1:53 PM (IDT)

Posted on 04/01/2015 12:20:25 PM PDT by drewh

resident Barack Obama and John Kerry promised that the nuclear deal to be signed with Iran in Switzerland this week will give the world powers a year’s warning after the Islamic Republic’s breakout up to an operational weapon. Intelligence sources disclose that, to clinch the framework deal in Lausanne, even this concession, which imperils Israel, the Gulf and the Middle East at large, was not enough. In a further surrender, the president authorized the US delegation to fall back again on the space granted the world powers for reacting to breakthrough, dropping it from a year to six or seven months:

Our nuclear experts explain why even that grim arithmetic does not do full justice to the advantages Iran has gained for its push to a nuke:

1. Because Iran is permitted to continue running up to 6,500 elderly IR-1 centrifuges for enriching uranium to a low 3.5 percent grade, even if it is permitted to keep only 500 kilos of its stock of 7.5-8 –tons, Tehran would still be able to build a bomb in 7-8 months, i.e. a lot faster than Obama and Kerry have promised.

2. But if Tehran activates secret facilities undetected by US intelligence, it can produce a larger quantity of enriched uranium and so shrink the time between breakout and bomb to three, at most, four months, totally insufficient for the world powers to detect, step in and abort the bomb’s manufacture, in view of the following considerations:

--- To obtain proof that Iran is cheating on its accord with the world powers, “environmental” samples would have to be obtained and tested in laboratories outside Iran. Results would be available only after two months, further slashing the time line for stopping Iran building a weapon. But that is not all. --- If Iran is shown by the first round of tests to be in violation of the accord and enriching uranium to a higher grade than 3.5, a second batch of “environmental” samples must be collected to analyze the exact quantities of uranium illicitly enriched and grade of purity.

There goes another month of valuable time for action, cutting it down to 10-12 weeks. 3. And, finally, the US President, Secretary of State and International Atomic Energy leaders have affirmed Iran’s faithful compliance with the first interim nuclear accord – known as the Joint Plan of Action – JPOA – that was signed in Geneva November 2013. That information is equally false.

It is a fact which is known to intelligence agencies that Iran never complied with its commitment to reduce its UF6 stocks below 7.5 tons and convert added amounts to harmless oxides. Indeed, they estimate that Iran has enlarged its approved amount of stock to 8.5 tons or more, by means of the “creep-out” strategyit has repeatedly pursued in the past to conceal its nefarious nuclear activities.

3. A final concession which Iran has managed to wring out of the six world powers led by Washington allows Tehran to keep an extra 9,000 IR-1 centrifuges Tehran idle - though not dismantled - and permission to continue research and development on high-speed IR-8 or IR-5 centrifuges. This means that the Islamic Republic will not only keep its nuclear infrastructure under the accord the six powers plan to sign, but add improvements along with the freedom to shorten at will the critical time lapse between breakout and bomb.

The tons of spoken and printed verbiage poured out on the Iranian nuclear issue and ongoing diplomacy year after year have exposed, rather than disguised, President Obama’s willingness to sign a nuclear deal with Iran – however bad and whatever the price. The inescapable conclusion is that the US president has come around to accepting the reality of a nuclear-armed Iran. As seen from Washington, America never stopped India, Pakistan and North Korea from becoming nuclear powers, and has therefore decided it can live with a fourth - Iran.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aprilfoolsirandeal; debka; iraniannukes; nucleariran; obamagivesirannukes
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1 posted on 04/01/2015 12:20:25 PM PDT by drewh
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To: drewh

I don’t know what to believe anymore when it comes to Obama, Rice and Kerry. The smartest thing is to presume that the exact opposite of what they say it what the truth is.


2 posted on 04/01/2015 12:22:32 PM PDT by lee martell (The sa)
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To: drewh
breakout up to

What does that mean?

3 posted on 04/01/2015 12:23:48 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: drewh
Henceforth ... ANY US politician, leaving the US for ANY f'n reason shall NEVER RETURN !!!

I am SO f'n sick and tired of being f'd !!!

Why can't we, as a nation, accuse the political realm of rape ???

4 posted on 04/01/2015 12:24:13 PM PDT by knarf (I say things that are true ... I have no proof ... but they're true)
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To: drewh

Couldn’t Obama just save a lot of time and verbiage by shipping Iran a warhead and delivery system already programmed to Tel Aviv? That would really put him in the Mad Mullahs’ good graces. Maybe he could become the 12th Imam.


5 posted on 04/01/2015 12:25:18 PM PDT by Truth29
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To: lee martell

I stopped trusting Debka years ago.

BTW, if it is true, then it is not “US Surrender”, it is “Obama Surrender”. This has nothing to do with the US.


6 posted on 04/01/2015 12:27:25 PM PDT by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
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To: knarf

Hey, at least I got flowers. :-D


7 posted on 04/01/2015 12:28:12 PM PDT by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
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To: lee martell

As another article posted recently pointed out, Obama has locked himself in the cockpit and he’s taking America down.


8 posted on 04/01/2015 12:28:23 PM PDT by Avid Coug
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To: knarf

“Why can’t we, as a nation, accuse the political realm of rape ??? “

Half of America will knee-jerk defend them because of the “D” after their name.

Democrats were created more equal than others and are self-justified in their mindless hatred and intolerance for anyone who won’t jackboot march with their POV.


9 posted on 04/01/2015 12:28:46 PM PDT by treetopsandroofs (Had FDR been GOP, there would have been no World Wars, just "The Great War" and "Roosevelt's Wars".)
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To: drewh

These crazy bastards will force Israel to preemptively nuke Iran.


10 posted on 04/01/2015 12:30:05 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: drewh

It looking more like Israel is gonna have to make Iran’s nuclear operation go kaboom.
Negotiating with these mad mullah’s is a game for fools.
Sending in the ordinance is the only way to halt this madness.


11 posted on 04/01/2015 12:38:16 PM PDT by tflabo (Truth or tyranny)
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To: Mariner

Yep, Israel is being left with no other choice than a preemptive strike. Then the Obama administration will come out with all sorts of charges condemning Israel and asking for sanctions at the UN. Hope Israel takes out Tehran while they are at it. Get rid of the mullahs.
Go Bibi! God Bless Israel!


12 posted on 04/01/2015 12:39:05 PM PDT by conservativejoy (We Can Elect Ted Cruz! Pray Hard, Work Hard, Trust God!)
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To: conservativejoy

Yeah, it’d be nice if Israel decided to settle all family business and take out Mecca, too.


13 posted on 04/01/2015 12:42:47 PM PDT by Radagast the Fool (At my signal, UNLEASH PALIN!!)
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To: drewh

What is wrong with this planet?

Western people wring their hands over the Holocaust, understand tht it was man’s inhumanity to man, say never again, how could that happen THESE DAYS when we are so accepting and rational?? And then what is happening right out in the open today is exactly the same as putting Hitler in charge of world Jewry again. There is no difference. Only a nuke would be a faster death for us.


14 posted on 04/01/2015 12:42:48 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: drewh

Time for Bibi’s boyz to go into action


15 posted on 04/01/2015 12:51:54 PM PDT by BigEdLB (We're experienceing the rule of a Roman Emperor, Barack I)
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To: BenLurkin

breakout up to an operational weapon.
*************************************

Sounds like mumbo-jumbo for “obtain”.


16 posted on 04/01/2015 12:55:21 PM PDT by Canedawg (Panem et circenses)
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To: drewh

So are they going to put Zeroes symbol on Iran’s nukes just below the crescent moon?


17 posted on 04/01/2015 12:56:07 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: Avid Coug

“Obama has locked himself in the cockpit and he’s taking America down.”

It’s a perfect metaphor in light of current events.


18 posted on 04/01/2015 12:56:55 PM PDT by Canedawg (Panem et circenses)
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To: drewh
A year notice...I hear "Oops we forgot....sorry"...

Kaboom

19 posted on 04/01/2015 1:00:11 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Yaelle

The future is so bright, gonna need shades. Everywhere you go in the universe, statism always ends in a nuclear holocaust. Always has, always will. It is the devil in disguise. It is the folly of man and alien. And Israel cannot stop with just nuking Iran. It must assume that Obama will nuke Israel after it nukes Iran. And the story goes on and on.


20 posted on 04/01/2015 1:00:43 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way. Was)
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