The Most Surprising Gay Marriage Poll We've Seen In A While [retread zot]

Washington Post ^ | 2/17/15 | Aaron Blake

[SunkenCiv]

Nothing left to do but sweep up the empty containers of anal lube.

[TheOldLady]

I noticed that. Several FReepers said so.

If he comes back again, we’ll have another party in the Viking Kitties’ mess hall.

[Darksheare]

Wonder which disguise he’ll try next.

[TheOldLady]

“Bricklayer?” — “mason”

[Darksheare]

Bricklayer, brickpooper, brickdropper, bricksniffer..
We could help him in his quest!
We could..suggest names for him!

[TheOldLady]

LOLOL! Don’t encourage him!

[giggles] bricksniffer! [laughter]

[Darksheare]

];-)

Fully in line with his avenue of interest.

[Steve_Seattle]

"I don’t know where you got the idea that a chart showing 45% equates to “more than half”."

Maybe I expressed myself poorly. Here is what I meant to say:

I think about one-third of the country identify as Republicans, and about 53% of the country support gay marriage. Assuming that 80% of Democrats and 60% of independents support gay marriage, that doesn't leave room for 45% of Republicans to support gay marriage, as claimed by the survey. To get to the 53% national figure, way less than 45% of Republicans (about 20%) would have to support gay marriage.

If the country is 1/3 Republican, 1/3 Democrat, and 1/3 independent, and if my estimates of Democratic and independent support for gay marriage are close, a 45% showing of support for gay marriage among Republicans would give a total public support for gay marriage of about 64%, not 53%, which would be a huge jump in support in the span of less than a year.

My math is basically:

80% x .33 + 60% x .33 + 20% x .33 = 52.8%, which is close to the poll figures I've seen, and very different from the poll cited in this article. If you plug 45% into the Republican part of the equation, you end up with public support of gay marriage being slightly more than 64%, and I've never seen a figure that high.

So what I was trying to say is that - unless there has been a huge, sudden change in Republican opinion - only about 20% of Republicans would support gay marriage, not 45%.