Last week a photo of a flyer distributed in the black areas of LA claimed that everyone would lose their benefits if she were not reelected. It didn’t say “mightlose” or benefits could be re-evaluated, it just said everything would be gone, including school grants, etc. unless the targeted recipients went out to vote.
At the time that that flyer was circulated Cassidy was ahead by 24 points. Two days later he won by 12 points. Do you suppose that the flyer made the difference in results?
Stories like that make it possible to read about the self-inflicted misery suffered by urban black without batting an eye; they consistently vote Democrat while their lots in life deteriorate.
You have to figure in the fudge factor. That is a truckload of ballots for the Dem candidate in any election...see Fairfax County, Virginia.