Posted on 11/01/2014 9:23:03 AM PDT by knak
Top medical experts studying the spread of Ebola say the public should expect more cases to emerge in the United States by year's end as infected people arrive here from West Africa, including American doctors and nurses returning from the hot zone and people fleeing from the deadly disease.
But how many cases?
No one knows for sure how many infections will emerge in the U.S. or anywhere else, but scientists have made educated guesses based on data models that weigh hundreds of variables, including daily new infections in West Africa, airline traffic worldwide and transmission possibilities.
This week, several top infectious disease experts ran simulations for The Associated Press that predicted as few as one or two additional infections by the end of 2014 to a worst-case scenario of 130.
"I don't think there's going to be a huge outbreak here, no," said Dr. David Relman, a professor of infectious disease, microbiology and immunology at Stanford University's medical school. "However, as best we can tell right now, it is quite possible that every major city will see at least a handful of cases."
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
We've got Ebloa in the USA for the first time in the history of our nation....and there's a pig-headed pr*** in the whitehouse who doesn't give a damn.
Won case of Øbola is Won Øbola too many, as that single Won, leads to lots of unnecessary Ebola.
They will let us know once it is stamped out and they have a record of what cases there were...
If the CDC is in any way involved, it wouldn't be a very educated guess. Pick any random number between zero and 320 million.
"predicted as few as one or two additional infections by the end of 2014 to a worst-case scenario of 130."
"The end of 2014" is, like, in two months! 130 Ebola cases would completely overwhelm the number of level four biocontainment beds in the US.
Not one case was necessary, if Obola and the Democrats had put in a travel bans.
We're already dead and refuse to lie down and cover ourselves with dirt.
Given the myriad of unknowns, the people making these predictions are more like palm readers than scientists.
Will these ‘scientists’ be the same ones who predict Global Climate Change ?
“Top medical experts “
Defined as Three ABC Interns who have the key to the supply closet where the first aid kits are kept.
We already have the predictions made here, numbers like 139,000,000 million Americans, and 50 million, and 75% of the world’s population and so on.
You are what you do. - “Stupid is as stupid does”
Those seem to be based on the notion that Americans will nurse their dying relatives at home, wash the dead, prevent authorities from reaching remote villages, etc. None of those thing apply here. The real estimates are bad enough, 100's dead, mainly first responders and HCWs, from something that is entirely preventable, namely letting in 150 potentially incubating victims each day.
Bring out your dead! The Dark Man cometh! Bring out your dead! The Dark Man cometh! Bring out your......
(Since all records of obama's past were lost in a tragic boating accident and fire, no one can be certain that the guy in the red circle isn't him...)
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
Ignoring the death and bodily injury, if they have to shut down ERs or wings or even entire hospitals for Ebola patients, this could be a big mess.
The Muslim-in-Chief is taking care of business on behalf of the Terrorists.
A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread
OK, I just saw a CDC quote from the article. Now, they are trying to get us to accept the inevitably of “clusters” of US cases... Ugh.
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