Posted on 10/23/2014 11:19:54 AM PDT by Red Steel
The Colorado secretary of state announced today that 332,050 Coloradans have cast ballots already, and out of that total, 145,824 are registered Republicans, and 105,401 are registered Democrats. That translates to a 43.9 percent to 31.7 percent advantage for the GOP.
In 2012, as Barack Obama was winning the state 51 percent to 46 percent, Republicans led the 1.7 million mail ballots cast in 2012 by 37 percent to 35 percent. So Republicans should be expected to lead, but a 12-point lead is better news than a 2-point lead.
In Florida, the news is also good for Republicans, but the figures could change quickly: 559,133 registered Republicans have voted early or absentee, 421,425 registered Democrats, and 198,423 independent or other. That translates to a 47 percent to 36 percent advantage. The Miami Herald summarizes:
History aside, the advantage is with Gov. Rick Scott right now for a simple reason: More of his people are voting. And the fact is, Democrats pride themselves on doing well in early voting. And they’re losing it at the moment. The big test comes Saturday and Sunday, the first full weekend for early voting, when Democrats tend to flock to the polls.
In Iowa, the GOP and Democrats are nearly tied in the number of returned absentee ballots — a mere 170-vote difference in favor of registered Democrats, with 238,147 ballots returned.
If Democrats want good cheer, they can point to Louisiana, where 20,760 of the first 38,620 ballots were cast by registered Democrats, and only 12,883 by Republicans. But this partially reflects the heavy partisan divide in the state’s registration; Louisiana has an electorate consisting of 47.1 percent registered Democrats and 27.5 percent registered Republicans, while having a GOP governor, one GOP U.S. senator and one Democratic one, and five Republican members out of six in the state’s congressional delegation.
Also note that those 38,000 ballots represent a small fraction of the expected total vote; back in 2010, with a less competitive U.S. Senate race, more than 1.2 million ballots were cast.
Louisiana is an anomaly because most of the Democrats are quite conservative.
Those votes aren’t going for Landrieu.
Elections have been turned into a drawn out horse race rather than a choice made at a point in time. Publishing this info is unwise. States should not do it.
No one has actually cast a vote. Early votes/absentee ballots are not counted until election day at least in Wisconsin where I “early voted” yesterday
These statistics are probably prior to all the dead voting, ballot machine “anomalies”, etc.
The reason is pretty simple: people find out that their property tax assessments are less likely to be messed with unfavorably if they are registered Democrats.
As Rush explained today .. it’s just the usual ploy .. about 2 weeks before an election; the dems suddenly have a rude awakening. It seems that the numbers they kept using for the polls were practically made up .. and only when the election gets close do they suddenly change to the REAL numbers.
And .. my personal opinion is that this election is not going to be a WAVE, I think it’s going to be a TSUNAMI!
And .. if so it will make Wasserman-Schultz look like a total idiot .. which she already is.
Yep, the pollster could be way off in their assumptions this election.
I looked up the 2010 election results for Colorado to see what the vote totals were. I was shocked to see that in a midterm election, 73.5% of the registered voters voted. That is extremely high for a midterm. Maine only get 60% in the midterms and we are considered leders in voting.
The 330,0505 voters who have cast their vote are 18% of the 1.8 million who voted in 2010.
Yes, that is high ...all those mail in ballots and Clintooon’s motor votor law. Typical mid-term elections of the not so distant past were in the 30s.
The turnout for the 1996 presidential election only got 49% nationwide.
“Most” as in the dictionary definition of “most”? No.
Rats will retake the House and hold the Senate. They have their tentacles established in enough places to allow plenty of illegals and dead people to vote. With a low turn out for Rats in the mid terms its very easy to vote for registered Rats not as motivated and others can vote for them.
Don’t hold your breath regaining power. We are shut out until a bloody revolution restores the Constitution and order.
“And .. my personal opinion is that this election is not going to be a WAVE, I think it’s going to be a TSUNAMI!”
I really hope you’re right. Some of us have really great ideas on hold, just waiting for a conservative morale boost. Not to mention, a boost will inspire more good ideas.
I’ll hint at one idea right now: a consitutional amendment to put the Ten Commandments & Golden Rule up near every classroom/fed-gov door.
Check out the numbers in comparison to 2010 and 2012 elections. Rs more than doubled the Dims in the same relative time for 2010, and more than 25k in the last presidential election. A week more of this, duh Dems ground game trolling for votes will be in for a very hard test.
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2014
........ Active voters** / Dems / Reps / Independents / % returned
“Colorado — 2.9 million / 105,401 / 145,824 / 77,285 / 11%
Ballots returned statewide 2010*, 2012**
Year / Dems / Reps / Independents
2012 / 120,965 / 126,539 / 75,030
2010 / 71,325 / 81,545 / 41,068
*as of Oct. 20, 2010
**as of Oct. 24, 2012
Source: Colorado Secretary of State”
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The Dems better step up their vaunted dumpster diving campaign.
That sounds like a really good idea to me.
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