And you may have the Moron 12-plus if you look at the candidates for Senate in those six states.
He currently has Republicans at a 57.8% statistical chance of winning the Senate.
Race by race:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/
(click on the Elections tab)
I’ve heard that West Virginia and Montana are off the charts, in polling, so that these 2 states will flip from Dem. to the GOP.
Those two states change the Senate line up from 55-45 Dem to 53-47 Dem. Then, the GOP needs four more to get to 51.
Of course that assumes that the GOP holds all seats, including McConnell in Kentucky and Roberts in Kansas.
There are many races which seem too close to call. The Democrats have to hold a big majority of those seats to hold the Senate. It’s unrealistic to think they will hold all of them. On the other hand, unrealistic to think the GOP will run the table either.
I hope campaigns are taking Obama at his word, when he said his policies are on the ballot this fall, even though he himself is not up for election. The GOP should be using this in every campaign, that a vote for a Democrat is a vote for Obama’s policies.
We may not know on election night who controls the new Senate. Georgia and Louisiana could both have runoff elections afterwards, if nobody gets 50% plus 1, as those states require a runoff if that happens.
Would love to see the GOP with 51 solid seats before worrying about Louisiana and Georgia and McConnell in Kentucky and the Kansas situation. Stay tuned.
RCP has it as:
D - 46
R - 45
Tossups - 9
Tossups:
AK: Begich (D)
AR: Pryor (D)
CO: Udall (D)
GA: Open (R)
IA: Open (D)
KS: Roberts (R)
KY: McConnell (R)
LA: Landrieu (D)
NC: Hagan (D)
But it looks to me like there is a huge momentum shift to the Red because of the Ebola crisis.
Excellent video worth 8 minutes of everyone’s time:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3KHKb2MQ24&feature=youtu.be
(Hat tip to ExTexasRedhead.)
I recall my art class from years ago maroon as being a combination of red and black.
Bttt
Circular firing squad thread