Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The logic in exporting U.S. oil
Washington Post ^ | September 28, 2014 | Robert J. Samuelson

Posted on 10/01/2014 5:11:33 AM PDT by thackney

...By all logic, we should be working to sustain the boom. We aren’t, and therein lies a classic example of how good policy is held hostage to bad politics and public relations. What would promote continued exploration is a lifting of the current U.S. ban on exporting crude oil. Let producers sell into the world market. But that seems (wrongly) an unjustified giveaway to industry. The public perceptions are atrocious.

Hardly anyone expected the oil boom, with some notable exceptions — prominently Harold Hamm, who pioneered North Dakota’s Bakken field. “Fracking” (the injection of pressurized water into fields to make oil and natural gas flow) and “horizontal drilling” (the use of one pipe along a single oil reservoir) changed everything. Formations of “tight oil” embedded in shale or dense sandstone became economical to produce.

The benefits are huge. Surging U.S. production has created thousands of jobs, helped stabilize global oil markets and curbed our import dependence. From 2008 to 2014, net imports dropped about 50 percent.

Sure, there are concerns: Rail transport of crude oil involves safety issues; there are continuing environmental worries about fracking. Still, public gains outweigh the costs. Indeed, producers’ very success at raising oil output increasingly poses problems.

If you want companies to search for oil, you have to provide them with a viable market where they might profitably sell it. As output has increased, this has become a bigger issue. Here’s why.

The new oil consists mostly of “sweet, light” crudes, meaning they have a low sulfur content and are less dense than “sour, heavy” crudes. The trouble is that many U.S. refineries have been designed to process heavy, sour crudes...

The result is that more and more new oil is chasing less and less usable refining capacity....

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; oil; shale
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-36 last
To: ckilmer

I and this author believe that banning exports may lead to a short-term price dip, but long-term would keep the same relatively high prices with the production coming from overseas.


21 posted on 10/01/2014 6:48:45 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: ckilmer

There is one being built in the Bakken;

http://www.calumetspecialty.com/about-us/facilities/dakota-prairie-refining


22 posted on 10/01/2014 6:55:03 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marylin vos Savant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: dynoman; ckilmer; woodbutcher1963

I believe Calumet ND refinery will be built soon. They are a “real” company already operating refineries and delivering product in other locations.


23 posted on 10/01/2014 7:03:09 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: thackney
International pressure may force a lifting of the U.S. crude export embargo. The embargo likely contravenes GATT and other trade agreements and is therefore subject to legal challenge. The embargo increases the cost of crude imports to Asian and European oil importers. Removing the embargo would add a potent weapon to U.S. foreign policy objectives, including weakening oil producing states that (a) export terror, such as Iran and, once again, Libya and (b) pose a military threat, such as Russia.

Supporting the embargo are U.S. voters who mistakenly think that the embargo is keeping gasoline prices from increasing and environmentalists to whom the embargo is tool to reduce the supply of hydrocarbon fuels.

The political scales may tip in favor of repeal with the new Congress in January. The Obama administration is already receptive.

The embargo may not be as big a restraint on trade as it is portrayed. The Brent/WTO spread narrowed dramatically in September as world crude prices dropped.

The $20 billion cost of refinery overhauls pales in comparison to industry E&P expenditures.

The swap with Mexico is small potatoes; the spread off Alberta Select is the big number. Keystone XL is the solution.

24 posted on 10/01/2014 7:53:14 AM PDT by Praxeologue
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Kennard
The $20 billion cost of refinery overhauls pales in comparison to industry E&P expenditures.

I don't see the cost to upgrade a refinery, especially, to use a more expensive oil than they currently use, relevant to what they spend to find and produce more crude oil.

Each unit of business needs to stand on its own. Also we have plenty that only produce and others that only refine. The small margins in refining are the driving force that caused several major oil companies to sell or spin-off their refining operations, such as ConocoPhillips and Marathon.

25 posted on 10/01/2014 7:59:06 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Kennard

Forgot to add, thanks for the perspective related to GATT.


26 posted on 10/01/2014 7:59:38 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: thackney

When gas prices DROP! then I will say ok to sell oil outside the country. We are paying double what we did before obama and the corrupt democrats came along. I suspect payoffs myself.


27 posted on 10/01/2014 10:50:36 AM PDT by minnesota_bound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: minnesota_bound

You believe on the demand side of the economic curves works but the supply curve is just a fantasy?

Keeping the ban is eventually going to lead to a drop in US production and higher prices.

Why is it okay to run crude oil through a simple distillation column and export the gas-oil output that isn’t suitable transportation fuel, but is not okay to export the crude?

It makes sense for the US to continue to import the cheaper heavy sour oil our refineries have been upgraded to run on while exporting the surplus expensive light sweet oil to others.


28 posted on 10/01/2014 10:54:59 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: thackney

We are paying double what we did before obama and the corrupt democrats came along. That is not coincidence. Until they are gone the price will remain high just as obama stated he would for coal. He might as well have added gas and home heating oil. In California it is artificially kept high.

In Los Angeles county it is several cents below the 18 cents per kw hour that much of California residents are being charged. It went up during the Gov Davis years and kept there as a payoff. One of many reasons he was recalled. Arnold Schwarzenegger who came after him was useless in bringing the price down as he wanted to pay off the huge deficit using the extra money made from the taxes on the bigger bills - deficit never came down but spending went up..

The power companies used the money to pay off their equipment years earlier then they could and the state gets higher taxes as they get a % of the power bill. The power companies are happy and the government is happy and the residents are broke.

The democrats want higher prices and exporting oil is not the answer, getting rid of democrats is. Prices will then come down and the oil companies can then export.


29 posted on 10/01/2014 11:20:35 AM PDT by minnesota_bound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: minnesota_bound
We are paying double what we did before obama

That is a dishonest description. You could just as easily measure from the peak half a year earlier and claim prices are lower under Obama.

Obama certainly is not helping lower prices, but he isn't the source of doubling prices either.

The democrats want higher prices and exporting oil is not the answer, getting rid of democrats is. Prices will then come down and the oil companies can then export.

It is a false claim that oil companies and others will continue to invest to keep up our production while rising production pushes prices lower than the rest of the world.

Just as in previous times and with any item, when supply begins to climb until prices begins to drop, supply is going to drop. Such a policy will just move jobs and investment to other countries.

It will not lower prices beyond a short term dip. It will cost us jobs, trade balance and long term higher prices.

30 posted on 10/01/2014 11:32:54 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: thackney

That is a dishonest description. ???
Just look at the gas price when you pull into the station!


31 posted on 10/01/2014 1:37:28 PM PDT by minnesota_bound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: minnesota_bound

The average price of gasoline in 2008 was $3.30/g.

Picking a short term dip as your comparison point is no more real than claiming President Bush was worse because of the high spike at July 2008 when Gasoline was $4.16/g.


32 posted on 10/01/2014 1:42:33 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: thackney

http://www.gasbuddy.com/gb_retail_price_chart.aspx
On 11-21-08 it was $1.59 It has spike before but has not gone as high or averaged as high then these last 5 years.


33 posted on 10/01/2014 2:32:04 PM PDT by minnesota_bound
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: minnesota_bound
Yes, you can pick this short term dip as your comparison point. But it is sad you think a price that lasted days and was far from the normal price months before or after it has any meaning. If we compare to July 2008, does that mean Obama is better?

It is just nonsense to try and claim Obama made gasoline prices double.


34 posted on 10/01/2014 2:37:46 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: thackney

I guy I worked with got hired there a couple months ago. So they are staffing, don’t know what the startup date is.


35 posted on 10/02/2014 6:15:54 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marylin vos Savant)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: dynoman

Construction of the diesel refinery, on a 318-acre site located west of Dickinson, N.D. is expected to take approximately 20 months.

http://www.calumetspecialty.com/dakota-prairie-refinery-project

Groundbreaking was March 26, 2013, so maybe by the end of the year.


36 posted on 10/02/2014 6:28:12 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-36 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson