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High Negative Equity Among Gen X Homeowners Causing Housing Market Gridlock
Seeking Alpha ^ | 26 August 2014

Posted on 08/26/2014 11:37:43 AM PDT by Lorianne

Generation X homeowners are far more likely to be underwater on their mortgage than millennial and Baby Boomer homeowners, a generational block that could limit the market for years, according to the second quarter Zillow® Negative Equity Reporti. The overall national negative equity rate fell to 17 percent in the second quarter, with more than 8.7 million homeowners with a mortgage owing more than their home was worth.

Approximately 42.6 percent of Generation X homeowners (those aged from 35 to 49) are underwater on their mortgage, compared to 15.3 percent of millennial homeowners (20-34 years old) and 31.1 percent of Baby Boomers (50-64 years old). Because it is very difficult for an underwater homeowner to list their home for sale, the wide disparities among generations stand to have ripple effects throughout the housing market. Baby Boomers may not be able to find move-up buyers for their homes as Gen X remains stuck, and millennials can't move into the more affordable starter homes currently occupied by Gen X.

(Excerpt) Read more at seekingalpha.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: housing
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1 posted on 08/26/2014 11:37:43 AM PDT by Lorianne
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To: Lorianne

Add their student loan debt to that.


2 posted on 08/26/2014 11:41:35 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The man who damns money obtained it dishonorably; the man who respects it earned it." --Ayn Rand)
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To: Lorianne

Young adults, listen well: stay out of all forms of debt. You will be glad you did.


3 posted on 08/26/2014 11:44:24 AM PDT by lurk
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To: Lorianne
... millennials can't move into the more affordable starter homes currently occupied by Gen X.

This doesn't make a lot of sense to me. If GenX homeowners - that's people in their late 30s to late 40s - were living in "affordable starter homes," they wouldn't have negative equity. And if Millenials (like my daughter, who prudently rents) want to buy more low-priced housing than is available, new construction will provide it.

I don't see much low-priced (for this area) new construction. What's being built nearby is priced 20% to 50% than current prices in my subdivision.

4 posted on 08/26/2014 11:44:31 AM PDT by Tax-chick (No power in the 'verse can stop me.)
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To: Tax-chick

The problem I have seen among my kids and my friends kids are the baby boomer houses, that we bought because we could afford them and stayed in them, are not good enough for the younger generations. They all want the bigger, better, more expensive homes.
We have a very nice home that we bought within our price range and stayed in. My daughter and her husband, whose income is 1/3 of ours, bought a home that is almost double what ours is worth right now. There was a very nice home down the street that was large, nice, and had a beautiful pool for sale that I tried to talk them into. It was too old was their response. Instead they bought a top of the line home in a gated neighborhood that they can barely afford.


5 posted on 08/26/2014 11:52:33 AM PDT by sheana
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To: Tax-chick
I'd imagine that the previous poster nailed it... "Student Loans".

It must be hard to be in the hole for the equivalent of a mortgage payment a month, before you even get started.

Harder still when your degree is in "fill-in-the-blank Studies", and you're working 29 hours a week (thanks Obamacare!!) as a Starbucks Barista.

6 posted on 08/26/2014 11:54:39 AM PDT by wbill
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To: Tax-chick

Yes, nobody in the real estate business has learned a thing from the previous crash. The banks, the builders, and the owners all still fantasize that they can demand similar market prices as they did 10 years ago, when everything was inflated well beyond its actual value.


7 posted on 08/26/2014 11:56:34 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: Lorianne

A friend of mine buys commercial properties in Seattle.

Well, he USED TO. Problem is that if a person owns a property they paid a million for, but it’s only worth $500k now, they CAN’T sell. They’d rather let the bank foreclose. So most stuff is priced far higher than it’s worth, if it’s for sale at all. So he buys elsewhere now


8 posted on 08/26/2014 11:57:07 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The US will not survive the obama presidency. The world may not either.)
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Comment #9 Removed by Moderator

To: lurk

My advice to anyone wanting to buy a home?

You better have a bullet proof super secure good paying job, which offers great benefits and yearly raises and ya better have a great retirement along with it.

Otherwise it’s a damn good chance that home will become your worst enemy...


10 posted on 08/26/2014 11:59:57 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: Tax-chick

Gen Xers are the ones who got caught in the middle of the housing bubble collapse. They bought in high, at artifically high prices (even for starter homes) in a sellers market and had their (artificial) equity stripped out from underneath them.

Millenials are both hurt and helped by this. They may not be as to find starter homes, but where they can it’s going to be in a depressed buyers market with lower prices.


11 posted on 08/26/2014 12:00:56 PM PDT by tanknetter
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To: Boogieman

It’s probably been inflated for over 30 years. The house my dad built in 1982 was a 3 bed/2.5 bath (2,500 sq.ft.) and he paid about $60,000. It was considered expensive back then.


12 posted on 08/26/2014 12:01:00 PM PDT by Roman_War_Criminal (Bible Summary in a few verses: John 14:6, John 6:29, Romans 10:9-10)
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To: lurk
I don't understand why people don't rent somewhere really inexpensive or live in a trailerpark or with relatives or whereever until their college debt is paid. Heck, I don't know why they go into debt for college. I don't understand why they aren't taking public transportation or driving cheap used cars.

I know nothing about the world of most of these Generation Xers. But one thing I'm pretty sure of is that they'll never be far enough out of debt to save for retirement.

13 posted on 08/26/2014 12:01:22 PM PDT by grania
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To: dragnet2

You have got that right, what was a good investment twenty years ago needs to be looked at with new eyes. If you pay cash it’s maybe okay, but it’s location, location, location...still.


14 posted on 08/26/2014 12:01:39 PM PDT by Kackikat
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To: Lorianne

Baby Boomer here who paid cash for his last two homes.


15 posted on 08/26/2014 12:02:34 PM PDT by dainbramaged (Get out of my country now)
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What Would You Do Without FR.......


Click The Pic To Donate

Donate

16 posted on 08/26/2014 12:03:16 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: sheana

In my neighborhood, the trend a few years ago was to borrow against the bubble-inflated home values and do extensive renovations. Now the trend is to tear down the cheap older homes and build larger houses in their place. But the lots are tiny, and the new houses stretch from setback to setback, so the kids don’t have any yard to play in. It’s sad.


17 posted on 08/26/2014 12:03:49 PM PDT by RaveOn ("No amount of logic can shatter a faith consciously based on a lie." Lamar Keene, "True Believers")
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To: grania
I don't understand why people don't rent somewhere really inexpensive or live in a trailerpark or with relatives or whereever until their college debt is paid

Because people would call them bums.

I have done this with my son; he pays bills, is responsible for chores around the house, etc. My peers cannot believe he lives at home.

18 posted on 08/26/2014 12:04:13 PM PDT by ican'tbelieveit
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To: lurk

Imagine how different the housing market would be if we followed the biblical model of “no loans longer than 7 years”.


19 posted on 08/26/2014 12:04:53 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Kackikat

BINGO...

If ya can’t pay cash, and don’t have a super secure great paying job with benefits, retirement etc....Ferrget it...

It’s a plane crash waiting to happen...


20 posted on 08/26/2014 12:06:03 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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