Posted on 07/25/2014 5:40:12 PM PDT by nickcarraway
More than half of the jobs currently being done in Germany could be taken over by robots in the next 20 years, according to a think-tank. The study from Brussels think-tank Bruegel found 51 percent of jobs in Germany at the moment could be computerized and left to robots in the next two decades.
European countries most at risk from this computerization were Romania (62 percent) and Italy, Poland, Bulgaria and Greece - all 56 percent.
The exact affect this could have on unemployment rates is unclear because as technology takes over, new jobs are created, meaning those who lose their work to robots will not necessarily become unemployed.
Technology is likely to dramatically reshape labour markets in the long run and to cause reallocations in the types of skills that the workers of tomorrow will need," Jeremy Bowles of Bruegel wrote about his study last week. "To mitigate the risks of this reallocation it is important for our educational system to adapt."
A study published in September last year caused a stir when it listed the jobs in the USA most at risk to robots.
The study calculated how at risk jobs were of computerization by identifying three things which hinder robots potentially taking over the job creative intelligence, social intelligence and perception and manipulation tasks.
Telemarketers, clerks, referees and credit analysts were among the jobs most likely to be taken over by robots, while those least at risk included recreational therapists, social workers and doctors.
The Bruegel think-tank took this data from the 2013 study which was based on USA employment figures and applied it to Europe to find out how at risk European countries were.
On the whole, jobs in northern European economies were least at risk of computerization, while those in the south and east were most susceptible.
Robots Macht Frei
So...are you implying there’s a difference between robots and the rest of the Germans?
And the foreman turned to the plant manager and said .......
“Ach, Chermans .. no one will be able to tell the difference.”
The could take all the jobs in D.C.
There is no beer robot.
New job- designing, building and programming robots.
You're absolutely right.
They look so friendly!
I’m pretty sure they have.
In 10-15 years or so most long haul trucking in the U.S. will be by driverless vehicles. Many locomotives in rail yards today are already driverless. Robots will become ubiquitous in the workplace. But we’ll need robot mechanics and other specialtists to keep them running. I just read that McDonald’s is hoping to reduce its workforce by half using automation. The times they are a-changin’. Parents - encourage your kids to become engineers.
Ja! Check out the parking robot at Dusseldorf Airport:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GZ3MSJ1VQME
When you return, it notes your flight's arrival, retrieves your car, and places it at the curb, ready to drive away.
I thought you just said that locomotives are mostly driverless.
Parents - encourage your kids to become engineers.Why?
So they can watch their jobs being given to H-1B visa imports?
If robots could take half the jobs in Germany,
just think how much of the unemployment they could do.
“New job- designing, building and programming robots.”
Humans will get new jobs, just as they did when mechanization replaced lots of elbow grease.
In many cases, the individual worker will get so much more productive when augmented with robots, that one will do the work that ten or a hundred do today.
But the speed of the dislocation is going to faster than past technological waves have been. Think about how fast digital cameras rolled over the chemical film camera market - Kodak had earnings drop 30% in one year. It will be like that in one field after another, and several at once.
The 2020’s will be a tidal wave of dislocation around the world, causing the price of many goods and services to drop dramatically, while quality improves sharply. People won’t need to work so much.
Well past time to send all those “ fifth column” Muslim guest workers home ASAP!
I refuse to use self-serve checkout registers in stores.
They put people out of work.
By using them, you encourage technology to further replace jobs. AND MARK MY WORDS, IF YOU'RE UNDER FORTY--and for many even older--YOUR JOB WILL BE ELIMINATED IN YOUR LIFETIME AND YOU WILL BE ON THE DOLE.
I believe this is already happening, and explains why unemployment and underemployment is already high.
Had a friend of mine lose his career--not just his job--to automation in his late 50s. He went back to school to become a medical technician. No one would hire him because he was too old.
And I still get p1$$ed whenever I call a company and get a voice menu. It's terrible customer service, but when all companies do it, where do you turn?
When it comes to abetting technology--except to dissuade others from abetting it--I'm on strike.
I’m sure like Caliph Baraq you mourn the loss of bank tellers to the ATM onslaught.
You’d like New Jersey, they require gasoline to be pumped only by attendants!
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